NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	133		Excitement	12.5 [8]		MVP	Corey Beck (CHH): +25.6%
Boston Celtics	129		Comeback	14.0 [37]		LVP	Eldridge Recasner (CHH): -17.9%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Beck	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.02	0.23	-0.01	8	65%	0.35	2	-0.09	1	0%	-0.11
Eddie Jones	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.22	-0.01	0.23	-0.00	15	55%	0.28	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.02
Brad Miller	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.07	0.09	-0.01	16	65%	0.30	2	-0.13	17	82%	0.07
Chuck Person	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Bobby Phills	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.04,-0.03	0.09	-0.11	0.00	20	65%	0.02	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.03
Elden Campbell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	13	38%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.07	-0.11	0.01	6	42%	-0.08	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dana Barros	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.06	0.00	17	63%	0.24	4	-0.15	7	86%	0.07
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.14,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.06	-0.00	22	48%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.15
Eric Riley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	2	78%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.03,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.03	0.02	21	59%	0.10	1	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	9	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	11	48%	-0.01	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.09
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.01	-0.14	0.01	22	50%	-0.01	2	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	21.2	2.4	25.0	15.3	26.6	2.4	35.4	1.7	21.6	1.5	17.2	170.4
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	1.7	18.8	1.7	18.8	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +39.7%

CHH +10.4%

CHH +8.0%

CHH +0.3%

BOS -8.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	BOS	NBA	CHH	BOS	NBA
this game	15.6	14.2	15.8	113.7	110.3	99.6
season	15.7	15.0		99.2	98.1
opponent	15.8	15.5		100.0	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHH	13.9	13.8	16.0	16.9	16.1	15.2
BOS	12.3	16.8	12.8	14.4	15.4	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Beck	64	65	0.90	-0.40	1.29	0.31	20	-16	36	16.2	14.8	1.34	15.4	12.6	2.89
Brad Miller	74	74	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.27	18	-14	32	15.8	15.3	0.48	15.1	12.6	2.43
Ricky Davis	81	80	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.25	18	-14	32	15.4	15.9	-0.48	14.7	12.9	1.86
Chucky Brown	78	77	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.42	-5	9	-14	16.1	14.6	1.53	13.0	16.4	-3.48
Chuck Person	39	40	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.04	9	-5	14	14.6	16.1	-1.53	16.4	13.0	3.48
Eldridge Recasner	48	49	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.06	4	0	4	14.6	16.2	-1.59	15.3	13.4	1.93
Eddie Jones	85	84	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.32	-12	16	-28	16.0	14.5	1.53	13.1	17.0	-3.91
David Wesley	37	36	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	8	-12	14.8	15.9	-1.17	12.9	14.7	-1.84
Bobby Phills	36	37	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.13	-14	18	-32	15.9	15.4	0.48	12.9	14.7	-1.86
Elden Campbell	43	43	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.11	-14	18	-32	15.3	15.8	-0.48	12.6	15.1	-2.43

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Battie	7	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.03	-1	-3	2	13.7	14.2	-0.48	14.3	15.7	-1.38
Eric Riley	27	28	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.08	-6	2	-8	15.1	13.9	1.19	14.1	16.1	-1.98
Walter McCarty	65	64	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.17	1	-5	6	14.0	14.3	-0.26	15.7	15.4	0.34
Vitaly Potapenko	53	54	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.39	8	-12	20	13.3	14.9	-1.61	16.0	15.2	0.81
Damon Jones	15	17	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.10	-10	6	-16	15.7	13.9	1.80	14.3	15.8	-1.51
Bruce Bowen	30	29	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	0	-4	13.6	14.4	-0.80	15.6	15.6	0.05
Dana Barros	105	105	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.49	8	-12	20	13.9	16.4	-2.51	15.8	14.1	1.67
Paul Pierce	87	88	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.26	-2	-2	0	14.5	13.1	1.38	15.7	15.2	0.50
Ron Mercer	109	107	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.45	0	-4	4	14.1	14.5	-0.36	15.8	13.1	2.71
Antoine Walker	87	86	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.29	-14	10	-24	14.5	13.3	1.16	15.4	16.1	-0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.28,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.4,0.25,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.46,0.68,0.54,0.55,0.9,0.54,0.61,0.45,0.32,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 100, TOR 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.23,0.16,0.3,0.43,0.46,0.33,0.42,0.3,0.35,0.28,0.39,0.15,0.09,0.02,0	85.6%
MIL 107, WAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.24,0.26,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.26,0.34,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.01,0,0,0	85.3%
NYK 114, ATL 107	0.5,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.24,0.13,0.07,0.03,0,0,0	85.3%