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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 107 Excitement5.1 [787] MVPPopeye Jones (WAS): +21.1%
Washington Wizards 98 Comeback1.4 [917] LVPMichael Jordan (WAS): -15.6%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ray Allen0.190,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.060.09-0.041459%0.1900.00989%0.03
Sam Cassell0.120,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.140.010.031571%0.1200.00887%0.02
Tim Thomas0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.09-0.010.00786%0.131-0.0500%0.00
Michael Redd0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.010.00761%0.0200.00475%0.01
Rafer Alston-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00662%0.042-0.05475%0.00
Ervin Johnson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.02-0.03650%0.022-0.05250%-0.01
Mark Pope-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00542%-0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Anthony Mason-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.0000%0.002-0.0500%0.00
Glenn Robinson-0.090,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.06-0.021150%-0.013-0.084100%0.03

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Popeye Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.110.110.015100%0.2100.003100%0.02
Christian Laettner0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.05-0.02-0.01967%0.091-0.0500%0.00
Courtney Alexander0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.02-0.01540%0.0300.0000%0.00
Tyrone Nesby00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bobby Simmons0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01456%0.032-0.041100%0.01
Tyronn Lue0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.01367%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Etan Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.000.0000%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Chris Whitney0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.01-0.060.01957%-0.001-0.053100%0.01
Kwame Brown0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.01520%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Richard Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.10-0.030.011343%-0.102-0.04978%-0.01
Michael Jordan0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.15,-0.14,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.160.00-0.130.032455%-0.043-0.11887%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.12.725.015.827.72.032.3127.6
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +28.4%
MIL +12.5%
WAS -3.8%
MIL +12.2%
MIL +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILWASNBAMILWASNBA
this game15.216.215.6116.3106.5102.3
season15.316.5104.7102.2
opponent15.316.0103.9105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL15.913.815.315.615.2
WAS16.918.114.715.016.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ray Allen75740.77-0.271.030.3315-62114.716.9-2.1915.219.9-4.65
Ervin Johnson54540.53-0.030.550.1513-41714.815.7-0.9516.515.60.93
Tim Thomas44420.440.060.390.0015-62115.215.10.1017.814.73.09
Michael Redd28280.360.140.22-0.0213-41713.915.7-1.8119.114.94.25
Anthony Mason69700.280.220.070.2036-315.813.32.4615.717.6-1.89
Rafer Alston36350.260.240.02-0.0611-21314.815.4-0.5717.815.22.61
Sam Cassell52540.240.26-0.020.30-211-1314.915.4-0.5315.617.0-1.44
Mark Pope3333-0.090.59-0.680.12-716-2315.714.80.8515.316.6-1.28
Glenn Robinson6970-0.290.79-1.080.18-1625-4115.913.02.8115.119.5-4.34

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyrone Nesby110.00-0.500.50-0.062-11137.016.3-9.256.015.3-9.25
Popeye Jones4848-0.03-0.470.45-0.237-162316.515.70.7715.115.2-0.06
Chris Whitney4547-0.09-0.410.31-0.214-131714.417.8-3.3416.114.21.91
Christian Laettner8181-0.12-0.380.26-0.213-121515.521.2-5.7115.512.72.75
Bobby Simmons6970-0.13-0.370.24-0.223-121515.617.7-2.0616.112.23.84
Courtney Alexander2224-0.20-0.300.10-0.08-4-5119.015.23.8015.914.90.98
Kwame Brown2525-0.21-0.290.08-0.00-7-2-516.716.00.7214.315.5-1.14
Tyronn Lue1615-0.24-0.260.020.05-101-1116.716.00.7211.515.9-4.32
Etan Thomas1212-0.32-0.18-0.140.12-156-2121.615.36.2514.215.3-1.04
Richard Hamilton6059-0.570.07-0.64-0.10-167-2316.615.21.3814.815.7-0.85
Michael Jordan8178-0.600.10-0.70-0.25-123-1515.918.1-2.2014.717.9-3.19


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.24,0.26,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.26,0.34,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.01,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 111, MIN 1050.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.19,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.09,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.37,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,092.5%
LAL 96, MIA 880.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.33,0.23,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.19,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,092.5%
BKN 97, MEM 880.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.2,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.2,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.19,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.19,0.21,0.09,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,092.4%