NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	110		Excitement	10.2 [31]		MVP	Eddie Jones (CHH): +22.2%
Indiana Pacers	115		Comeback	29.6 [23]		LVP	Mark Jackson (IND): -34.6%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.02	0.20	0.01	15	62%	0.32	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Eldridge Recasner	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.02	6	64%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
David Wesley	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.18,0.07,0.04	0.10	-0.06	-0.00	14	74%	0.19	3	-0.15	3	100%	0.01
Chuck Person	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	13	42%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	3	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Chucky Brown	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.08,-0.08	-0.00	-0.09	-0.01	17	47%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	15	50%	-0.05	2	-0.05	12	75%	0.03
Bobby Phills	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	6	36%	-0.04	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.03	0.20	0.01	14	56%	0.24	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.09
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	3	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	5	69%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	7	67%	0.07	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.04
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	8	70%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	23	52%	0.08	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.06
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	7	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.31,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.26	-0.26	-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	18	31%	-0.26	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.21,-0.3,-0.3,-0.35	-0.35	-0.12	-0.23	-0.01	10	38%	-0.21	3	-0.14	6	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.5	2.3	25.6	15.7	22.3	2.5	35.8	1.6	19.6	150.9
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	1.7	18.8	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH -55.5%

IND +33.9%

IND +47.7%

IND +24.9%

CHH -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	IND	NBA	CHH	IND	NBA
this game	14.4	14.9	15.8	100.9	106.5	99.6
season	15.7	16.4		99.2	105.4
opponent	16.0	15.5		101.2	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHH	12.5	14.6	16.1	14.5	14.7	14.4
IND	13.7	18.1	14.0	16.1	11.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eldridge Recasner	42	43	0.40	-0.90	1.31	0.05	12	-17	29	14.1	14.6	-0.46	16.5	13.9	2.62
Derrick Coleman	31	30	0.20	-0.70	0.91	0.11	3	-8	11	13.9	14.6	-0.62	15.9	14.6	1.34
Bobby Phills	58	62	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-3	1	14.5	14.2	0.34	15.9	13.7	2.16
Chuck Person	56	54	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.19	-10	5	-15	14.9	13.8	1.10	15.2	14.6	0.57
Elden Campbell	87	86	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.49	-1	-4	3	14.1	15.4	-1.29	14.7	15.9	-1.17
Eddie Jones	93	90	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.44	-7	2	-9	14.3	14.9	-0.58	14.1	18.9	-4.74
David Wesley	91	88	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.43	-8	3	-11	14.2	15.2	-1.01	14.2	18.0	-3.82
Chucky Brown	87	87	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.41	-12	7	-19	14.7	12.9	1.84	14.8	15.7	-0.91

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Jackson	72	73	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.39	16	-11	27	13.7	17.3	-3.56	14.7	13.8	0.85
Jalen Rose	69	72	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.37	12	-7	19	14.6	15.5	-0.90	14.2	14.6	-0.41
Reggie Miller	94	94	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.45	8	-3	11	14.7	16.5	-1.80	14.3	14.9	-0.57
Dale Davis	70	70	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.61	2	3	-1	14.2	16.2	-1.97	14.2	14.7	-0.49
Rik Smits	69	71	0.45	0.06	0.39	0.30	5	0	5	15.2	14.4	0.86	14.9	13.3	1.59
Antonio Davis	52	52	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.05	1	4	-3	15.3	14.6	0.72	13.7	15.0	-1.38
Chris Mullin	33	32	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.04	-1	6	-7	14.5	15.1	-0.69	14.9	14.2	0.71
Sam Perkins	25	25	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.15	2	3	-1	15.2	14.8	0.40	14.8	14.2	0.55
Derrick McKey	20	20	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.07	-9	14	-23	17.9	14.2	3.70	14.4	14.4	0.09
Travis Best	36	36	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	-0.03	-11	16	-27	17.3	13.7	3.56	13.8	14.7	-0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.36,0.37,0.33,0.24,0.17,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.4,0.26,0.28,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.48,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.23,0.41,0.46,0.32,0.21,0.35,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 107, DEN 109	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.1,0.26,0.22,0.42,0.54,0.53,0.37,0.33,0.91,1	90.9%
DAL 105, OKC 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.25,0.33,0.23,0.23,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.22,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.45,0.74,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.58,1	88.6%
ATL 98, CHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.26,0.26,0.43,0.52,0.28,0.29,0.19,0.14,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.08,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.86,0.72,1	88.6%