NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	97		Excitement	3.4 [689]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (DEN): +10.6%
Denver Nuggets	120		Comeback	1.4 [496]		LVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): -9.1%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Van Horn	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	18	62%	0.11	4	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Jamie Feick	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	45%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Kendall Gill	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.04	14	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	64%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Mark Hendrickson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.02	0.06	18	57%	-0.02	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.04
David Vaughn	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	6	50%	0.00	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.16	-0.01	-0.08	13	22%	-0.09	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.18	0.00	0.08	9	100%	0.14	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.03
Johnny Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	80%	0.07	1	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	0.00	0.05	24	64%	0.10	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.00
Eric Washington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	80%	0.04	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	12	46%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Stith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Meyer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Herrera	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Alexander	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	11	56%	0.01	4	-0.04	10	80%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.8	26.7	14.8	24.2	2.4	28.7	121.7
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +27.2%

DEN +13.3%

DEN +3.8%

DEN +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	DEN	NBA	NJN	DEN	NBA
this game	15.9	14.1	15.8	101.0	125.0	99.6
season	15.0	15.5		96.5	100.7
opponent	15.6	15.6		107.6	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.8	17.6	14.2	15.9	15.9
DEN	13.0	13.7	17.9	12.4	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elliot Perry	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-21	19	17.8	15.7	2.09	7.4	14.8	-7.36
Chris Carr	15	15	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-28	33	15.1	16.0	-0.97	12.1	14.5	-2.43
Lucious Harris	25	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-26	29	15.5	16.0	-0.49	16.3	13.4	2.90
Mark Hendrickson	7	6	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	-16	9	18.0	15.7	2.28	11.3	14.3	-2.97
Scott Burrell	30	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.07	-3	-20	17	15.3	16.1	-0.80	15.8	13.4	2.36
Jamie Feick	59	61	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.11	-12	-11	-1	15.5	16.4	-0.89	14.2	14.0	0.18
David Vaughn	37	35	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	-12	1	16.4	15.5	0.89	14.0	14.2	-0.18
Kendall Gill	66	67	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.24	-20	-3	-17	16.1	15.3	0.80	13.4	15.8	-2.36
Keith Van Horn	74	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.26	-21	-2	-19	15.9	16.0	-0.15	14.7	11.9	2.89
Kerry Kittles	78	78	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.24	-23	0	-23	16.2	14.7	1.43	13.5	16.8	-3.35
Stephon Marbury	80	81	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.15	-24	1	-25	15.5	17.7	-2.16	14.8	10.3	4.48

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Fortson	67	67	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.10	21	2	19	15.0	12.1	2.88	15.5	16.8	-1.30
Chauncey Billups	60	62	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	10	3	14.9	12.8	2.14	15.8	16.1	-0.36
Eric Washington	59	58	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.13	18	5	13	13.6	14.9	-1.35	16.1	15.5	0.64
Johnny Taylor	43	43	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.16	18	5	13	14.1	14.2	-0.08	16.7	15.2	1.56
Antonio McDyess	74	76	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.20	16	7	9	14.8	11.9	2.86	15.9	15.8	0.04
Eric Williams	26	26	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	19	-15	14.1	14.1	0.00	16.5	15.7	0.84
Nick Van Exel	67	67	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.24	14	9	5	14.6	12.9	1.70	15.7	16.2	-0.46
Bryant Stith	47	48	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	19	-15	15.3	13.0	2.23	15.1	16.7	-1.65
Carl Herrera	19	18	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.11	4	19	-15	11.2	14.8	-3.62	16.3	15.8	0.48
Loren Meyer	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	22	-21	5.5	14.7	-9.19	16.4	15.9	0.54
Cory Alexander	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	22	-21	5.5	14.7	-9.19	16.4	15.9	0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.79,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 92, ORL 118	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.64,0.69,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
DET 100, ATL 107	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
ATL 93, GSW 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.54,0.59,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.85,0.85,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%