NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	92		Excitement	3.9 [1007]		MVP	Dwight Howard (ORL): +10.5%
Orlando Magic	118		Comeback	1.6 [1090]		LVP	Nate Robinson (NYK): -9.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Rose	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	6	73%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
David Lee	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	7	65%	0.03	1	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Fred Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	58%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	14	48%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	9	45%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	22	47%	0.01	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Jared Jeffries	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mardy Collins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	6	15%	-0.03	2	-0.02	1	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.01	-0.02	16	59%	0.18	4	-0.07	12	50%	-0.06
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	-0.00	0.03	15	61%	0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.02	6	79%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	17	64%	0.09	4	-0.05	5	100%	0.01
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	9	59%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
James Augustine	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.5	37.3	15.7	25.1	2.7	29.3	137.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +37.1%

ORL +7.0%

ORL +7.2%

NYK -0.5%

NYK -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ORL	NBA	NYK	ORL	NBA
this game	16.7	14.4	15.4	100.0	126.9	105.7
season	15.7	15.1		103.1	109.9
opponent	15.6	15.2		104.6	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	18.0	15.0	18.5	15.8	16.7
ORL	15.5	12.7	14.9	14.9	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wilson Chandler	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-24	22	14.6	17.0	-2.39	14.4	14.4	-0.02
Renaldo Balkman	18	19	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.06	0	-26	26	15.8	16.9	-1.11	15.3	14.2	1.13
Fred Jones	40	41	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.28	-12	-14	2	16.0	17.3	-1.29	14.0	14.7	-0.75
Eddy Curry	50	51	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.34	-15	-11	-4	17.9	15.4	2.48	13.5	15.5	-1.93
Mardy Collins	32	31	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.07	-7	-19	12	17.2	16.5	0.66	15.0	14.1	0.82
Malik Rose	35	35	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.11	-1	-25	24	15.9	17.2	-1.31	16.6	13.1	3.50
Jared Jeffries	34	33	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	-16	6	18.0	16.0	2.02	13.8	14.7	-0.88
Nate Robinson	47	49	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	-12	-2	15.8	17.7	-1.88	14.3	14.5	-0.20
David Lee	60	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.26	-23	-3	-20	15.8	18.5	-2.76	14.5	14.3	0.16
Quentin Richardson	63	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.23	-24	-2	-22	17.4	15.3	2.02	14.1	15.0	-0.92
Jamal Crawford	71	73	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.14	-22	-4	-18	17.3	14.7	2.61	14.3	14.9	-0.61

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	73	72	0.65	-0.15	0.80	-0.49	39	-13	52	13.7	17.1	-3.42	17.5	14.0	3.42
Hedo Turkoglu	82	83	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.44	35	-9	44	13.6	20.2	-6.54	17.2	12.6	4.63
Carlos Arroyo	81	80	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.27	27	-1	28	14.2	15.9	-1.72	16.9	15.6	1.32
Keith Bogans	47	46	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.25	26	0	26	14.4	14.4	0.01	16.5	17.0	-0.46
Rashard Lewis	70	68	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.21	22	4	18	14.2	15.2	-1.06	16.9	16.1	0.82
Pat Garrity	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	26	-26	12.4	14.5	-2.13	12.4	17.0	-4.58
JJ Redick	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	24	-22	14.4	14.4	-0.02	14.6	17.0	-2.39
James Augustine	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	26	-26	12.4	14.5	-2.13	12.4	17.0	-4.58
Marcin Gortat	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	26	-26	12.4	14.5	-2.13	12.4	17.0	-4.58
Brian Cook	29	28	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.12	-5	31	-36	17.6	13.0	4.60	15.6	17.2	-1.56
Maurice Evans	43	43	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	29	-32	15.1	13.9	1.21	17.7	15.9	1.73
Adonal Foyle	15	15	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.23	-13	39	-52	18.7	13.6	5.06	14.6	17.1	-2.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.64,0.69,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 97, DEN 120	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.79,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
SAC 90, POR 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
ATL 93, GSW 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.54,0.59,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.85,0.85,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%