NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	83		Excitement	3.3 [696]		MVP	Dana Barros (BOS): +9.7%
Boston Celtics	67		Comeback	1.0 [560]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -19.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Geiger	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	8	44%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Harvey Grant	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerald Honeycutt	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	7	55%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.01	-0.06	16	42%	0.00	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Larry Hughes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	6	37%	-0.00	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Aaron McKie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	5	20%	-0.03	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	0.02	20	50%	-0.02	4	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.01	-0.03	6	93%	0.12	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.01	-0.05	17	58%	0.09	2	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Greg Minor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	6	33%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	9	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marlon Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.04	6	0%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	17	33%	-0.08	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.20	-0.01	-0.02	11	23%	-0.13	4	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.4	30.5	14.7	25.3	2.5	24.2	124.4
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +17.5%

PHI +7.7%

PHI +11.8%

PHI +11.4%

PHI +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	BOS	NBA	PHI	BOS	NBA
this game	15.3	16.9	15.8	92.2	75.3	99.6
season	15.6	15.0		97.0	98.1
opponent	15.8	15.9		100.0	94.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	12.8	15.1	17.5	16.4	15.3
BOS	16.7	16.9	18.5	15.5	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	72	70	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.20	24	-8	32	16.1	12.2	3.88	17.5	14.7	2.77
Harvey Grant	46	46	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.20	23	-7	30	14.5	16.1	-1.59	17.0	16.7	0.23
Allen Iverson	80	79	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.05	16	0	16	15.3	15.7	-0.42	16.7	17.9	-1.17
Theo Ratliff	61	61	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.10	9	7	2	15.5	14.9	0.63	17.2	16.2	0.95
George Lynch	66	64	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.18	17	-1	18	16.1	13.3	2.77	17.4	15.4	1.98
Larry Hughes	37	38	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.14	4	12	-8	13.9	16.3	-2.43	17.2	16.6	0.51
Matt Geiger	39	38	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.06	2	14	-12	14.9	15.6	-0.66	16.8	16.9	-0.09
Aaron McKie	40	40	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.30	-9	25	-34	15.6	15.1	0.50	16.1	17.5	-1.44
Nazr Mohammed	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	13.0	15.4	-2.40	9.3	17.1	-7.79
Doug Overton	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	13.0	15.4	-2.40	9.3	17.1	-7.79
Jerald Honeycutt	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	13.0	15.4	-2.40	9.3	17.1	-7.79

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dana Barros	37	39	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.20	-10	-6	-4	18.2	15.9	2.31	17.8	13.5	4.32
Tony Battie	45	46	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-15	14	16.3	17.5	-1.17	14.4	16.3	-1.86
Paul Pierce	53	55	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.04	-7	-9	2	17.3	16.2	1.08	16.5	13.4	3.15
Marlon Garnett	28	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.34	5	-21	26	15.0	17.7	-2.67	14.5	15.7	-1.14
Greg Minor	38	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.43	8	-24	32	15.8	17.6	-1.83	13.9	16.3	-2.43
Kenny Anderson	24	23	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.11	-11	-5	-6	16.9	16.8	0.07	12.1	16.4	-4.29
Vitaly Potapenko	29	30	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.08	-11	-5	-6	16.9	16.8	0.05	15.7	15.1	0.52
Walter McCarty	51	51	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.10	-5	-11	6	16.6	17.2	-0.56	14.7	16.1	-1.33
Antoine Walker	67	67	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.14	-22	6	-28	16.9	16.8	0.12	15.4	15.1	0.32
Ron Mercer	73	74	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.26	-26	10	-36	17.6	13.6	3.95	15.9	12.7	3.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.16,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 128, ATL 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.19,0.1,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
DAL 108, MEM 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.24,0.19,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
MIA 113, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.3,0.23,0.24,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%