inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 108 Excitement3.2 [1172] MVPJosh Howard (DAL): +15.3%
Memphis Grizzlies 88 Comeback1.0 [650] LVPErick Dampier (DAL): -6.4%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh Howard0.150,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.170.000.021482%0.171-0.02580%-0.00
Michael Finley0.080,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.010.00869%0.0800.0000%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.00-0.02965%0.071-0.012100%0.01
Jason Terry0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.01-0.01383%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Keith Van Horn0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.01583%0.042-0.012100%0.00
Devin Harris0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.000.02467%0.0100.004100%0.01
Darrell Armstrong0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.05233%0.0010.002100%0.00
Shawn Bradley0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00367%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Marquis Daniels-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.070.00-0.05425%-0.012-0.0000%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.07-0.00-0.031147%-0.011-0.031283%0.02
Alan Henderson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.000.01729%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Erick Dampier-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.01350%-0.022-0.04667%-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Pau Gasol0,0,0.02,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.110.020.03990%0.132-0.042100%0.01
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.06-0.010.03963%0.0200.001100%0.00
Bonzi Wells0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.01765%0.012-0.01683%0.00
Antonio Burks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dahntay Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.090.00-0.0930%-0.002-0.0000%0.00
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00150%-0.0100.002100%0.01
James Posey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.011046%-0.0100.006100%0.01
Earl Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.080.00-0.06650%0.013-0.03667%-0.01
Stromile Swift0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.07-0.00-0.031241%0.002-0.053100%0.01
Jason Williams0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.050.00-0.00333%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Lorenzen Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00839%-0.031-0.03250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.22.731.515.726.22.527.2132.9
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +22.6%
DAL +5.6%
DAL +18.1%
DAL +5.6%
MEM -1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALMEMNBADALMEMNBA
this game16.016.615.5121.3100.0104.0
season14.916.4108.2103.7
opponent15.515.5101.9103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL13.017.015.318.916.0
MEM20.715.114.716.216.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Josh Howard51510.59-0.090.67-0.2127-73416.115.80.3517.115.91.14
Jason Terry48460.56-0.060.61-0.2327-73416.016.0-0.0216.316.9-0.62
Dirk Nowitzki48480.55-0.050.59-0.2527-73415.716.3-0.5617.116.01.06
Erick Dampier50480.500.000.49-0.1522-22415.716.3-0.5216.217.0-0.86
Michael Finley40390.400.100.29-0.2221-12215.416.4-0.9417.216.11.17
Jerry Stackhouse35360.040.46-0.420.07-121-2214.816.7-1.8815.317.5-2.16
Darrell Armstrong29280.040.46-0.42-0.02218-1617.315.32.0415.417.1-1.69
Alan Henderson30310.020.48-0.470.02020-2018.514.73.8716.816.40.40
Shawn Bradley1918-0.010.51-0.510.11-424-2815.016.2-1.2318.616.12.48
Marquis Daniels4140-0.020.52-0.550.12-525-3016.515.50.9216.216.9-0.60
Keith Van Horn3131-0.050.55-0.600.10-525-3014.816.6-1.7315.017.4-2.39
Devin Harris2324-0.100.60-0.690.23-1131-4215.716.1-0.4218.915.73.16

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antonio Burks1011-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-222417.516.51.0418.915.63.36
Earl Watson3837-0.06-0.440.38-0.03-1-191817.116.20.8315.416.4-0.96
Bonzi Wells5153-0.07-0.430.36-0.101-212217.115.81.2816.415.31.06
James Posey4747-0.15-0.350.20-0.00-5-151017.715.32.4115.316.7-1.42
Dahntay Jones2425-0.15-0.350.190.08-8-12415.017.2-2.1116.815.71.10
Pau Gasol4846-0.16-0.340.19-0.13-1-191817.016.10.8815.017.0-2.09
Shane Battier3938-0.18-0.320.15-0.00-6-14815.617.3-1.7317.514.82.68
Stromile Swift5052-0.30-0.20-0.090.06-12-8-417.415.51.9515.416.8-1.45
Jason Williams4041-0.44-0.06-0.380.17-211-2215.917.1-1.2515.716.2-0.53
Mike Miller4545-0.46-0.04-0.410.16-211-2215.717.5-1.8716.215.80.38
Lorenzen Wright4850-0.540.04-0.580.28-288-3616.017.2-1.1816.016.0-0.01


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.24,0.19,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 83, BOS 670.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.16,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.2%
SAS 89, DEN 750.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.31,0.26,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.24,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.2%
WAS 122, PHI 1030.5,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.48,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.8%