NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	101		Excitement	10.9 [16]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +23.1%
Sacramento Kings	104		Comeback	8.7 [40]		LVP	John Stockton (UTA): -58.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Howard Eisley	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.06	0.09	-0.01	8	87%	0.22	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.15	0.00	0.13	-0.01	10	57%	0.18	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.18,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	57%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.08
Greg Ostertag	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	55%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Karl Malone	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	12	71%	0.15	5	-0.14	4	100%	0.04
Greg Foster	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Thurl Bailey	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.00	-0.09	0.00	5	64%	-0.04	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Shandon Anderson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	10	30%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.28	-0.10	-0.18	0.00	10	40%	-0.06	4	-0.23	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	-0.58	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.25,-0.25,-0.29,-0.29,-0.4,-0.58	-0.10	-0.48	0.00	12	50%	-0.17	5	-0.41	4	50%	-0.04

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.15	0.09	0.01	17	70%	0.25	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.04	0.12	0.00	5	79%	0.19	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.27,0.27,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.01	0.01	21	67%	0.20	2	-0.07	7	43%	-0.08
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	6	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,-0.07,-0.11	-0.11	0.05	-0.16	0.00	7	79%	0.06	2	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	0.00	8	19%	-0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.21,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.29,-0.29,-0.21	-0.21	-0.19	-0.05	-0.03	9	31%	-0.03	4	-0.18	8	100%	0.20

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.2	2.5	24.3	16.3	22.6	2.2	34.6	2.4	15.3	141.5
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	1.7	18.8	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +15.8%

SAC +25.1%

UTA -29.9%

SAC +47.8%

UTA -8.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAC	NBA	UTA	SAC	NBA
this game	17.0	15.6	15.8	105.2	105.1	99.6
season	16.4	14.1		102.6	100.1
opponent	15.5	16.0		100.9	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
UTA	15.7	16.5	15.9	21.6	14.6	17.0
SAC	15.0	16.2	16.1	15.2	15.4	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thurl Bailey	16	16	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.16	1	-4	5	19.7	16.5	3.19	15.4	15.6	-0.20
Shandon Anderson	38	40	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.05	7	-10	17	18.2	16.3	1.91	15.6	15.6	0.03
Howard Eisley	34	34	0.11	-0.61	0.71	0.22	-4	1	-5	17.4	16.9	0.50	15.1	15.8	-0.70
Greg Ostertag	38	39	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.13	6	-9	15	16.1	17.7	-1.58	16.1	15.3	0.82
Todd Fuller	27	29	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.17	5	-8	13	18.8	16.3	2.43	15.2	15.8	-0.56
Karl Malone	71	72	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-2	1	16.7	17.8	-1.09	15.7	15.4	0.27
Greg Foster	19	18	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.18	-13	10	-23	15.7	17.4	-1.61	15.0	15.7	-0.74
Adam Keefe	45	46	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.33	-1	-2	1	18.2	16.0	2.20	16.5	14.8	1.67
Bryon Russell	63	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	0	-3	16.4	18.2	-1.80	15.2	16.3	-1.09
John Stockton	62	66	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.67	1	-4	5	16.9	17.4	-0.50	15.6	15.5	0.09
Jeff Hornacek	58	59	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.36	-10	7	-17	16.3	18.2	-1.91	15.6	15.6	-0.03

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Hawkins	61	57	1.37	-0.87	2.23	0.60	26	-23	49	16.0	14.9	1.07	16.7	17.6	-0.90
Vernon Maxwell	73	71	1.11	-0.61	1.72	0.35	26	-23	49	15.4	16.1	-0.69	17.4	15.9	1.50
Scot Pollard	66	62	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.50	15	-12	27	16.0	14.8	1.14	17.8	15.6	2.14
Peja Stojakovic	79	77	0.93	-0.43	1.37	0.26	23	-20	43	15.7	15.1	0.63	17.4	15.5	1.88
Vlade Divac	82	79	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.50	1	2	-1	15.3	17.2	-1.97	17.3	16.0	1.25
Jerome James	10	10	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.03	5	-2	7	17.4	15.4	2.00	13.7	17.4	-3.72
Corliss Williamson	20	19	-0.43	0.93	-1.37	0.15	-20	23	-43	15.1	15.7	-0.63	15.5	17.4	-1.88
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	27	25	-0.57	1.07	-1.64	0.10	-23	26	-49	15.6	15.6	-0.02	15.9	17.4	-1.50
Lawrence Funderburke	38	40	-0.65	1.15	-1.80	-0.18	-16	19	-35	15.9	15.4	0.51	16.6	17.3	-0.65
Jason Williams	39	40	-0.84	1.34	-2.18	-0.20	-22	25	-47	14.6	16.2	-1.63	17.1	16.9	0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.65,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.66,0.48,0.48,0.24,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.1,0.45,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.37,0.43,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 83, NOH 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.18,0.19,0.46,0.55,0.84,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.31,0.83,1	87.7%
SEA 87, CHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.46,0.45,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.36,0.69,0.73,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.57,0.16,1	87.0%
TOR 101, CHI 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.3,0.26,0.16,0.17,0.38,0.37,0.24,0.27,0.54,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.58,1	86.3%