NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	93		Excitement	9.3 [65]		MVP	Sean Elliott (SAS): +49.9%
San Antonio Spurs	91		Comeback	4.8 [33]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -40.7%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dee Brown	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.17	0.13	-0.01	13	82%	0.32	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Vince Carter	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.07,0.13	-0.12	0.23	-0.01	19	35%	0.18	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Alvin Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	70%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Charles Oakley	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	9	59%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Michael Stewart	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	7	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
John Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.03	-0.06	0.03	0.01	11	50%	0.07	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.03
Kevin Willis	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	-0.00	15	32%	-0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Elliott	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.5	0.50	0.13	0.36	-0.00	10	78%	0.50	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.08	-0.00	13	56%	0.11	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.09
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	58%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	1	50%	-0.03	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	14	59%	0.06	6	-0.22	13	62%	-0.02
Mario Elie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.33	-0.33	-0.05	-0.27	-0.00	10	43%	-0.22	2	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.34,-0.41	-0.41	-0.17	-0.23	0.00	7	31%	-0.16	6	-0.25	2	50%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.8	26.0	16.4	28.4	1.8	45.0	143.1
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +27.4%

SAS -29.2%

SAS -9.1%

TOR +48.5%

TOR +12.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	SAS	NBA	TOR	SAS	NBA
this game	16.4	16.5	15.8	105.7	104.6	99.6
season	15.6	15.9		99.0	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.9		92.7	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.4	14.3	17.4	16.4	16.4
SAS	14.5	19.3	15.3	17.1	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dee Brown	57	56	0.89	-0.39	1.29	0.39	17	-15	32	14.9	19.2	-4.28	17.2	15.3	1.97
Vince Carter	70	68	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.36	11	-9	20	16.2	17.3	-1.12	15.9	18.8	-2.96
John Thomas	30	29	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.21	14	-12	26	13.0	18.2	-5.19	16.3	16.6	-0.33
Doug Christie	69	69	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.51	-5	7	-12	16.5	15.8	0.69	16.9	15.2	1.72
Charles Oakley	69	69	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.39	-6	8	-14	17.4	12.8	4.59	15.9	18.8	-2.84
Kevin Willis	58	57	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.18	1	1	0	17.1	15.0	2.05	17.0	15.6	1.47
Michael Stewart	8	8	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	-1	4	14.0	16.6	-2.63	16.1	16.6	-0.44
John Wallace	25	26	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.03	-3	5	-8	16.4	16.4	-0.04	18.3	15.8	2.48
Tracy McGrady	23	23	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.06	-9	11	-20	17.3	16.1	1.18	16.6	16.5	0.05
Alvin Williams	31	30	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	0.02	-13	15	-28	19.1	14.9	4.23	15.0	17.3	-2.28

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Daniels	20	22	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.03	-2	0	-2	15.2	16.9	-1.73	17.6	16.0	1.61
Mario Elie	52	54	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.36	7	-9	16	16.4	16.7	-0.31	17.5	14.6	2.88
Malik Rose	19	18	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.20	-12	10	-22	20.2	15.5	4.64	15.4	16.6	-1.25
Jaren Jackson	22	23	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	4	-10	16.9	16.4	0.51	14.7	17.0	-2.35
Steve Kerr	1	1	-0.23	-0.28	0.05	-0.20	-1	-1	0	3.0	16.7	-13.69	0.0	16.6	-16.57
Sean Elliott	73	74	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.52	10	-12	22	16.0	19.4	-3.37	17.4	11.1	6.24
Will Perdue	12	13	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.06	-10	8	-18	18.9	16.1	2.77	11.2	17.3	-6.14
David Robinson	74	74	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.51	9	-11	20	16.0	19.5	-3.54	17.2	12.1	5.13
Avery Johnson	67	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-2	2	16.9	15.2	1.73	16.2	16.8	-0.60
Tim Duncan	69	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.65	11	-13	24	15.7	19.8	-4.10	16.7	14.9	1.86
Jerome Kersey	26	25	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.07	-16	14	-30	18.5	15.7	2.81	12.6	17.9	-5.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.5,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.66,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.54,0.77,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 119, GSW 116	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.7,0.57,0.58,0.81,0.78,0.67,0.78,0.62,0.54,0.65,0.26,0	91.1%
UTA 86, HOU 83	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.58,0.77,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.77,0.26,0	90.6%
SEA 89, MIN 87	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.61,0.61,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.55,0.42,0	90.3%