NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	89		Excitement	8.5 [146]		MVP	Ronald Murray (SEA): +41.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	87		Comeback	12.2 [54]		LVP	Sam Cassell (MIN): -36.8%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronald Murray	0.41	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.06,0,0,0.41	0.03	0.34	-0.04	18	60%	0.41	2	-0.00	12	92%	0.05
Jerome James	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	7	87%	0.25	3	-0.20	2	100%	0.05
Richie Frahm	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	7	76%	0.11	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Antonio Daniels	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ansu Sesay	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	14	37%	-0.05	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	13	23%	-0.21	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.21	0.21	-0.00	0.20	-0.01	16	56%	0.29	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	6	75%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.00	-0.02	17	62%	0.11	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.15
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	36%	-0.02	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	3	50%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	10	40%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.25,-0.25,-0.37	-0.37	-0.11	-0.25	0.00	14	47%	-0.10	5	-0.27	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	24.7	15.5	24.5	2.4	35.4	130.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +14.4%

SEA +32.3%

SEA +14.4%

MIN -11.1%

MIN -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	MIN	NBA	SEA	MIN	NBA
this game	15.8	15.9	15.7	96.7	96.7	100.5
season	15.6	15.6		105.0	103.2
opponent	16.1	15.7		98.4	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.3	15.4	15.9	16.6	15.8
MIN	16.0	16.6	13.4	17.7	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome James	49	47	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.50	11	-9	20	16.0	15.5	0.53	17.7	13.9	3.78
Rashard Lewis	64	64	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.45	4	-2	6	15.8	15.7	0.06	15.6	16.6	-1.01
Brent Barry	71	70	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.50	-2	4	-6	16.3	14.0	2.32	15.5	17.1	-1.66
Ronald Murray	72	69	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.59	-5	7	-12	14.8	19.3	-4.54	15.0	18.7	-3.73
Vladimir Radmanovic	77	76	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.53	-6	8	-14	15.0	19.7	-4.71	14.9	20.8	-5.84
Antonio Daniels	14	14	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	-1	4	14.5	16.0	-1.53	17.1	15.6	1.52
Luke Ridnour	27	27	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.19	8	-6	14	17.7	15.0	2.70	18.4	14.8	3.59
Reggie Evans	33	32	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.14	5	-3	8	17.5	14.8	2.68	17.3	15.0	2.31
Ansu Sesay	12	11	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	2	-2	16.8	15.6	1.20	19.4	15.4	4.00
Richie Frahm	4	4	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	1	0	14.0	15.9	-1.88	17.2	15.8	1.46
Vitaly Potapenko	9	8	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	7	-12	16.8	15.7	1.09	11.6	16.3	-4.64
Calvin Booth	28	28	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.02	-4	6	-10	14.9	16.2	-1.29	13.9	16.7	-2.85

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Olowokandi	59	60	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.11	1	-3	4	16.1	15.4	0.71	16.2	15.0	1.22
Trenton Hassell	40	38	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.36	13	-15	28	14.8	16.7	-1.90	17.1	14.9	2.23
Ervin Johnson	12	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-1	0	16.0	15.8	0.17	16.9	15.6	1.25
Keith McLeod	12	14	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.11	-5	3	-8	21.2	15.0	6.13	16.3	15.7	0.58
Gary Trent	17	18	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.00	-2	0	-2	16.6	15.7	0.98	15.8	15.8	0.05
Sam Cassell	77	78	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.23	5	-7	12	15.2	19.5	-4.30	15.7	16.3	-0.58
Kevin Garnett	85	87	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.51	5	-7	12	15.4	23.4	-7.99	15.9	14.8	1.05
Latrell Sprewell	73	74	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.39	-7	5	-12	16.0	15.1	0.98	15.3	17.8	-2.54
Mark Madsen	28	27	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.52	-6	4	-10	15.0	16.3	-1.29	13.4	16.8	-3.32
Fred Hoiberg	47	50	-0.81	0.31	-1.13	-0.43	-13	11	-24	16.8	14.8	2.04	15.9	15.7	0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.61,0.61,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.55,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 89, MIN 85	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.77,0.93,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.67,0.26,0	93.5%
LAC 96, NOH 93	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.81,0.94,0.81,0.79,0.69,0.28,0	92.7%
IND 90, TOR 88	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.81,0.81,0.71,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.78,0.76,0.58,0	92.0%