NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	96		Excitement	7.7 [290]		MVP	Matt Barnes (LAC): +20.2%
New Orleans Hornets	93		Comeback	15.2 [160]		LVP	Brian Roberts (NOH): -18.8%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.07,0.2,0.2	0.04	0.16	-0.00	11	62%	0.26	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.04
Eric Bledsoe	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	4	75%	0.11	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Jamal Crawford	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.03	0.11	-0.02	16	42%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Blake Griffin	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.02	0.02	16	56%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Lamar Odom	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Paul	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.01	-0.03	0.07	0.05	12	53%	0.12	4	-0.13	8	100%	0.09
Willie Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robin Lopez	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	16	53%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	18	52%	0.11	3	-0.07	12	58%	-0.03
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	46%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Ryan Anderson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	18	40%	0.01	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
Terrel Harris	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Henry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	5	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.19	-0.19	-0.01	-0.12	0.06	13	56%	-0.11	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	1.6	29.5	16.7	27.0	2.6	41.0	145.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +43.8%

LAC +16.9%

NOH -8.5%

NOH -0.1%

NOH -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NOH	NBA	LAC	NOH	NBA
this game	15.7	16.3	15.4	106.7	103.3	104.1
season	15.6	16.3		109.0	103.9
opponent	15.6	15.7		108.1	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.7	16.3	18.0	13.2	15.7
NOH	15.6	16.4	18.0	15.6	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Bledsoe	38	40	0.86	-0.36	1.21	0.42	15	-12	27	14.1	16.8	-2.68	15.4	17.1	-1.71
Matt Barnes	54	53	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.41	14	-11	25	14.9	16.9	-2.02	15.8	17.1	-1.24
Jamal Crawford	59	60	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.38	5	-2	7	15.6	15.8	-0.20	15.6	17.8	-2.22
Chris Paul	71	70	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.54	-1	4	-5	15.6	16.1	-0.48	16.5	15.8	0.61
Blake Griffin	74	73	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.48	-1	4	-5	15.5	16.3	-0.77	16.4	16.0	0.40
Lamar Odom	19	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.11	4	-1	5	15.7	15.7	0.07	15.9	16.4	-0.54
Ryan Hollins	27	28	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.08	0	3	-3	15.0	16.0	-1.02	16.3	16.3	-0.00
Caron Butler	34	34	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	9	-15	16.3	15.3	0.94	17.0	15.9	1.14
Willie Green	33	33	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.03	-7	10	-17	16.5	15.2	1.32	17.8	15.5	2.27
DeAndre Jordan	41	40	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.01	-8	11	-19	18.0	13.8	4.22	17.1	15.7	1.40

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Amundson	27	26	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.15	-1	-2	1	15.7	16.6	-0.88	15.8	15.6	0.13
Xavier Henry	33	35	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-1	-1	15.5	16.8	-1.32	16.4	15.2	1.23
Darius Miller	10	9	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	1	-5	13.7	16.6	-2.95	15.0	15.8	-0.75
Roger Mason Jr.	31	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	3	-9	14.4	17.3	-2.90	14.8	16.2	-1.36
Al-Farouq Aminu	62	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.30	-1	-2	1	17.2	14.4	2.85	15.9	15.2	0.76
Eric Gordon	69	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.50	4	-7	11	16.4	16.0	0.42	15.3	16.9	-1.57
Brian Roberts	75	75	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.53	0	-3	3	16.8	13.8	3.03	16.0	14.2	1.77
Robin Lopez	70	72	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.50	-2	-1	-1	16.5	15.6	0.93	16.0	14.5	1.47
Ryan Anderson	73	74	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.50	-3	0	-3	16.5	15.4	1.12	15.3	17.4	-2.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.81,0.94,0.81,0.79,0.69,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 89, MIN 85	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.77,0.93,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.67,0.26,0	93.7%
SEA 89, MIN 87	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.61,0.61,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.55,0.42,0	92.7%
NYK 104, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.88,0.78,0.75,0.64,0.68,0.04,0	92.3%