NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	86		Excitement	6.0 [360]		MVP	Darrell Armstrong (ORL): +9.3%
Orlando Magic	96		Comeback	2.2 [467]		LVP	Shawn Kemp (CLE): -22.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	11	45%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	7	62%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Corie Blount	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.00	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Johnny Newman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	-0.03	0.05	7	71%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	9	35%	-0.07	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Brevin Knight	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	14	50%	-0.02	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.23	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23	-0.20	-0.06	-0.03	21	40%	-0.13	4	-0.09	13	77%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.00	0.03	15	74%	0.15	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Horace Grant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	15	53%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.06	0.02	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	11	55%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	9	52%	0.01	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.03
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
B.J. Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	18	36%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	5	50%	0.01	4	-0.10	4	25%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.5	29.4	15.8	25.3	1.8	33.2	130.7
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +40.3%

CLE -13.2%

ORL +11.8%

ORL +11.0%

ORL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ORL	NBA	CLE	ORL	NBA
this game	14.6	15.7	15.8	90.5	101.1	99.6
season	16.3	16.1		97.3	98.0
opponent	15.6	16.2		95.7	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	12.9	14.4	15.0	16.3	14.6
ORL	14.8	15.6	17.0	15.7	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Ferry	28	28	-0.11	-0.38	0.27	-0.14	1	-11	12	16.2	13.9	2.38	16.7	15.3	1.42
Corie Blount	35	34	-0.12	-0.37	0.24	-0.12	0	-10	10	15.1	14.3	0.82	16.4	15.4	1.08
Johnny Newman	43	42	-0.17	-0.32	0.15	-0.23	2	-12	14	15.3	14.0	1.30	17.0	14.7	2.29
Derek Anderson	26	25	-0.17	-0.32	0.15	-0.08	-3	-7	4	16.0	14.0	1.92	16.0	15.7	0.34
Brevin Knight	74	76	-0.21	-0.28	0.07	-0.24	1	-11	12	13.9	17.0	-3.12	16.2	14.1	2.12
Bob Sura	26	24	-0.22	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	-2	-6	16.5	13.8	2.71	16.1	15.6	0.45
Andrew DeClercq	45	45	-0.27	-0.22	-0.05	0.02	-10	0	-10	14.3	14.8	-0.53	15.3	16.2	-0.91
Cedric Henderson	52	53	-0.32	-0.17	-0.15	0.03	-12	2	-14	14.0	15.3	-1.30	14.7	17.0	-2.29
Wesley Person	64	65	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.08	-10	0	-10	14.0	15.7	-1.74	15.0	17.3	-2.27
Shawn Kemp	82	83	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	1	-12	13.9	18.6	-4.69	15.4	18.2	-2.86

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Armstrong	65	64	0.60	-0.11	0.72	0.14	16	-6	22	15.3	16.6	-1.29	14.9	13.9	1.04
Horace Grant	75	76	0.59	-0.10	0.69	0.06	18	-8	26	15.0	18.6	-3.61	14.3	15.5	-1.20
Michael Doleac	35	37	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.03	16	-6	22	14.5	16.5	-1.95	15.3	14.1	1.15
Anfernee Hardaway	77	75	0.42	0.07	0.36	0.10	11	-1	12	15.5	16.7	-1.13	14.3	15.7	-1.43
Matt Harpring	72	71	0.41	0.08	0.33	0.09	11	-1	12	15.5	16.5	-0.96	14.4	15.0	-0.52
Ike Austin	51	50	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.27	-6	16	-22	17.0	14.2	2.79	14.4	14.8	-0.36
Nick Anderson	74	75	0.05	0.44	-0.39	0.23	-6	16	-22	16.3	14.0	2.30	14.4	15.2	-0.80
B.J. Armstrong	6	8	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	12	-14	15.7	15.8	-0.09	15.2	14.5	0.74
Derek Strong	20	19	-0.10	0.59	-0.69	0.14	-8	18	-26	18.6	15.0	3.61	15.5	14.3	1.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.32,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.63,0.6,0.71,0.74,0.87,0.79,0.79,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 87, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	94.9%
MIA 83, IND 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.39,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.85,0.82,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.2%
SAS 76, CHA 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%