NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	72		Excitement	7.3 [208]		MVP	Brian Grant (POR): +5.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	79		Comeback	1.5 [718]		LVP	Tony Delk (GSW): -20.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bimbo Coles	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.03	-0.02	12	59%	0.05	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
Muggsy Bogues	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	5	45%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Felton Spencer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	9	26%	-0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	8	42%	-0.05	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Terry Cummings	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	6	0%	-0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	-0.17	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.04	-0.11	0.02	14	51%	-0.08	2	-0.09	7	57%	-0.07
John Starks	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	20	30%	-0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.12	-0.08	0.00	6	28%	-0.13	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Grant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	9	59%	0.11	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.02	-0.05	11	58%	0.07	4	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	7	44%	-0.01	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	14	42%	-0.03	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	6	31%	-0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.02
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	8	31%	-0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	0.00	14	39%	-0.07	3	-0.11	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.8	27.3	15.4	25.3	1.5	36.5	131.4
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +42.6%

POR +8.1%

POR +4.3%

GSW -2.1%

GSW -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	POR	NBA	GSW	POR	NBA
this game	16.3	16.2	15.8	80.9	89.8	99.6
season	15.9	16.0		95.1	102.0
opponent	15.9	15.5		96.2	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	16.8	14.9	16.0	17.9	16.3
POR	16.7	16.4	15.3	16.4	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	24	22	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.01	6	-13	19	16.1	16.4	-0.29	14.8	16.7	-1.91
Antawn Jamison	42	40	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.06	5	-12	17	15.8	16.9	-1.09	15.2	17.0	-1.80
Felton Spencer	11	10	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.02	1	-8	9	15.7	16.4	-0.70	14.1	16.5	-2.37
Tony Delk	32	33	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-9	11	16.4	16.3	0.11	14.3	17.3	-2.99
Muggsy Bogues	29	28	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-4	1	17.1	16.0	1.14	16.7	15.9	0.80
Erick Dampier	33	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-4	1	17.4	15.7	1.63	18.8	14.6	4.22
Terry Cummings	45	44	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-2	-3	15.7	17.0	-1.22	14.7	17.7	-3.05
Bimbo Coles	60	60	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	-3	-1	16.0	17.1	-1.14	15.9	16.7	-0.80
John Starks	58	57	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.17	-10	3	-13	16.2	16.6	-0.42	16.8	15.2	1.61
Donyell Marshall	47	48	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.23	-12	5	-17	16.9	15.8	1.09	17.0	15.2	1.80
Jason Caffey	64	64	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.33	-12	5	-17	16.5	15.9	0.64	17.2	13.7	3.49

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Grant	69	69	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.29	10	-3	13	16.6	14.9	1.67	16.8	14.7	2.05
Isaiah Rider	61	62	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.23	5	2	3	16.2	16.3	-0.13	15.7	17.9	-2.23
Rasheed Wallace	41	41	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.23	3	4	-1	14.5	17.7	-3.12	16.9	15.9	1.00
Greg Anthony	21	21	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	2	3	18.5	15.5	3.05	17.3	16.0	1.24
Arvydas Sabonis	59	60	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.30	-1	8	-9	16.9	14.8	2.05	15.7	17.7	-2.06
Stacey Augmon	52	54	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.14	4	3	1	15.4	17.4	-2.00	16.0	16.9	-0.95
Damon Stoudamire	67	68	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	5	-3	15.5	18.5	-3.05	16.0	17.3	-1.24
Walt Williams	30	29	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.04	4	3	1	16.0	16.3	-0.31	16.4	16.3	0.11
Jermaine O'Neal	9	10	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	3	1	16.9	16.1	0.76	16.9	16.3	0.63
Jim Jackson	31	31	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	8	-9	17.8	15.4	2.42	17.6	15.6	2.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.87,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.74,0.84,0.81,0.81,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.72,0.81,0.71,0.67,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 100, CHI 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.45,0.55,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.62,0.84,0.85,0.84,1	92.8%
SAS 93, UTA 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.69,0.81,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.76,0.63,0.45,0.74,1	92.8%
SAC 87, CHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.98,1	92.7%