NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	63		Excitement	1.8 [783]		MVP	Toni Kukoc (CHI): +12.6%
Chicago Bulls	76		Comeback	1.0 [318]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): -7.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Scott	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	2	25%	-0.00	1	-0.00	4	50%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	7	68%	0.01	2	-0.02	5	60%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	5	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Kurt Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	9	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	8	62%	-0.00
Chris Childs	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.13	0.00	-0.09	5	30%	0.01	5	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.12	0.00	-0.06	16	41%	-0.03	3	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Larry Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.13	0.00	-0.06	5	29%	-0.04	3	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Latrell Sprewell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.23	0.00	-0.16	12	29%	-0.04	4	-0.03	10	60%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toni Kukoc	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.01	-0.08	15	71%	0.17	5	-0.04	5	100%	0.01
Randy Brown	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	10	50%	0.04	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	29%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Lang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kornel David	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	3	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Cory Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Benjamin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	50%	-0.01	2	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.16	0.00	-0.09	7	12%	-0.04	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.8	32.2	15.5	29.2	2.5	28.2	135.9
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +27.8%

CHI +1.2%

CHI +4.2%

CHI +15.2%

CHI +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHI	NBA	NYK	CHI	NBA
this game	15.0	17.7	15.8	71.6	86.4	99.6
season	16.0	16.7		97.0	90.6
opponent	15.4	16.6		101.1	95.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.6	15.1	17.1	12.8	15.0
CHI	15.7	18.4	19.8	17.2	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Scott	21	19	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-10	7	14.4	15.2	-0.80	17.6	17.7	-0.15
Rick Brunson	39	37	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.22	3	-16	19	14.6	15.4	-0.84	16.7	18.4	-1.71
Kurt Thomas	43	42	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-8	3	16.3	13.8	2.48	17.7	17.7	0.04
Chris Childs	62	67	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.25	3	-16	19	13.9	17.7	-3.72	18.7	14.5	4.16
Marcus Camby	48	50	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.29	3	-16	19	14.0	16.2	-2.23	17.6	17.8	-0.22
Charlie Ward	9	8	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.20	-15	2	-17	19.6	14.5	5.04	14.0	18.1	-4.06
Chris Dudley	40	38	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-8	3	15.0	15.0	-0.02	17.5	17.8	-0.29
Latrell Sprewell	60	61	-0.28	-0.21	-0.07	0.04	-11	-2	-9	15.5	13.9	1.62	18.5	16.0	2.50
Allan Houston	67	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.22	-8	-5	-3	15.1	14.9	0.17	17.5	18.2	-0.65
Larry Johnson	51	51	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.30	-27	14	-41	15.4	14.5	0.90	17.2	18.4	-1.14

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Brown	62	64	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.22	27	-14	41	17.9	17.2	0.77	15.9	12.7	3.14
Toni Kukoc	55	56	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.55	35	-22	57	16.7	19.3	-2.53	17.0	11.5	5.50
Dickey Simpkins	50	53	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.31	26	-13	39	18.0	17.3	0.71	16.6	12.6	3.99
Ron Harper	47	46	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.41	28	-15	43	17.0	18.5	-1.53	16.4	13.5	2.93
Bill Wennington	28	31	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.36	25	-12	37	16.2	18.4	-2.17	17.1	13.9	3.13
Brent Barry	42	43	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.02	6	7	-1	18.9	16.6	2.32	15.3	14.7	0.62
Mark Bryant	41	39	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	12	-11	18.6	16.9	1.72	14.7	15.3	-0.52
Andrew Lang	30	29	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.42	-14	27	-41	17.1	18.0	-0.85	12.9	16.1	-3.19
Kornel David	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.38	-13	26	-39	17.2	17.8	-0.51	8.4	16.0	-7.62
Keith Booth	19	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.38	-13	26	-39	17.9	17.6	0.26	12.2	15.8	-3.60
Corey Benjamin	25	23	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.66	-24	37	-61	18.6	17.3	1.27	9.6	17.0	-7.35
Cory Carr	29	27	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.49	-19	32	-51	17.9	17.6	0.25	12.5	16.2	-3.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 85, SEA 114	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
DET 83, POR 114	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
MIA 69, POR 88	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%