inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 75 Excitement4.4 [572] MVPMitch Richmond (WAS): +13.6%
Washington Wizards 86 Comeback1.6 [476] LVPAntoine Walker (BOS): -20.4%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eric Riley0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Paul Pierce0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.02-0.01-0.041555%0.021-0.011471%-0.01
Popeye Jones-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01233%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Andrew DeClercq-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01442%-0.0200.00425%-0.02
Bruce Bowen-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01437%-0.002-0.0500%0.00
Kenny Anderson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.07-0.01-0.02637%-0.051-0.01450%-0.02
Tony Battie-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.14-0.01-0.06517%-0.033-0.0520%-0.00
Dana Barros-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.13-0.01-0.041223%-0.1010.002100%0.00
Ron Mercer-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.07-0.050.021652%-0.005-0.131100%0.01
Antoine Walker-0.200,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.19-0.02-0.001227%-0.153-0.06650%-0.07

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mitch Richmond0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.110.030.011764%0.1400.005100%0.02
Terry Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.002100%0.0500.0000%0.00
Jahidi White0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0400%0.0020.0000%0.00
Jeff McInnis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rod Strickland0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.001459%0.043-0.056100%0.01
Otis Thorpe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.01-0.02558%0.042-0.05250%-0.01
Randell Jackson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.0330%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Tracy Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.090.00-0.0560%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Chris Whitney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.02333%-0.003-0.0500%0.00
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.09-0.00-0.03212%-0.041-0.02425%-0.03
Calbert Cheaney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.12-0.01-0.041132%-0.081-0.01650%-0.01
Juwan Howard0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.15-0.01-0.051540%-0.073-0.031080%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.31.732.115.426.41.731.1133.7
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +23.7%
WAS +6.9%
WAS +6.5%
WAS +11.8%
WAS +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSWASNBABOSWASNBA
this game15.614.715.878.990.599.6
season15.015.598.198.8
opponent15.915.8101.3100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS15.019.316.812.015.6
WAS15.014.114.515.114.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eric Riley560.05-0.550.60-0.012-131517.615.52.1218.714.54.21
Andrew DeClercq4142-0.08-0.420.34-0.204-151915.016.1-1.0815.014.50.49
Paul Pierce6063-0.11-0.390.29-0.255-162114.217.9-3.6415.113.91.24
Kenny Anderson5049-0.14-0.350.21-0.12-1-10915.316.0-0.7014.015.5-1.46
Popeye Jones2422-0.23-0.270.05-0.08-5-6118.214.73.5012.515.4-2.90
Antoine Walker6768-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.01-9-2-714.717.6-2.9115.612.53.14
Dana Barros4546-0.35-0.14-0.21-0.06-10-1-916.015.30.7015.514.01.46
Ron Mercer7675-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.11-110-1115.516.1-0.6414.714.9-0.22
Bruce Bowen5452-0.46-0.04-0.430.00-165-2117.313.43.8714.315.3-0.97
Tony Battie5352-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.06-143-1715.815.40.4213.815.8-1.99

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rod Strickland75760.61-0.110.72-0.1827-164314.116.9-2.7516.013.92.12
Juwan Howard76760.470.030.430.0614-31714.913.91.0415.316.9-1.63
Calbert Cheaney68700.410.090.330.2174314.914.30.6515.216.8-1.64
Mitch Richmond72700.410.090.320.0313-21514.914.20.7315.216.8-1.59
Ben Wallace50500.220.28-0.070.0756-113.516.0-2.5015.316.0-0.70
Terry Davis24250.190.31-0.12-0.0274317.013.93.1016.215.40.83
Tracy Murray41410.190.31-0.130.16110-912.916.1-3.1716.614.91.71
Otis Thorpe31310.080.42-0.340.11-112-1314.614.8-0.1216.115.40.71
Jahidi White430.000.50-0.500.06-213-1515.214.70.5517.315.51.80
Randell Jackson1413-0.010.51-0.530.05-213-1517.414.33.0916.715.41.28
Chris Whitney1213-0.010.51-0.530.16-617-2316.214.51.7413.515.9-2.38
Jeff McInnis87-0.050.55-0.600.18-819-2717.914.43.4416.415.50.91


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 75, NJN 900.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.78,0.77,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,195.3%
MIL 92, CHA 1020.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.1%
PHI 78, DET 1150.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.9%