inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 88 Excitement3.5 [667] MVPEddie Jones (LAL): +11.5%
Los Angeles Lakers 116 Comeback1.0 [574] LVPDerrick Coleman (CHH): -8.8%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
B.J. Armstrong0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.100.020.00686%0.1100.002100%0.01
J.R. Reid0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.010.01965%0.051-0.03250%-0.01
Ricky Davis0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.140.01-0.151225%0.033-0.0200%0.00
Charles Shackleford0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.00-0.01855%0.031-0.02475%-0.01
Brad Miller0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Travis Williams0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Chucky Brown-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.10-0.00-0.0850%-0.0210.0000%0.00
Chuck Person-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Bobby Phills-0.040,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.002047%-0.002-0.04367%-0.01
Eldridge Recasner-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.000.03861%-0.033-0.02250%-0.00
David Wesley-0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.01-0.03828%-0.041-0.032100%0.01
Derrick Coleman-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.11-0.00-0.031228%-0.0900.00580%0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eddie Jones0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.100.01-0.011168%0.1200.00683%0.02
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.01-0.001557%0.0700.00580%0.01
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.07-0.020.01-0.071457%0.114-0.0400%0.00
Travis Knight0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.01567%0.0300.002100%0.01
Derek Harper0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.000.02570%0.0300.0000%0.00
Rick Fox0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.00-0.001553%0.0100.00875%0.00
Ruben Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01260%0.0010.001100%0.00
Sam Jacobson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01560%0.0010.0000%0.00
Sean Rooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.050.00-0.05250%-0.002-0.004100%-0.00
Corie Blount0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01464%-0.002-0.003100%0.00
Elden Campbell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.080.00-0.04617%-0.031-0.0100%0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.09-0.00-0.01627%-0.061-0.02367%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.31.629.216.429.62.427.6128.1
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +21.1%
LAL +9.2%
LAL +5.6%
LAL +12.8%
LAL +1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHHLALNBACHHLALNBA
this game14.414.715.888.9117.299.6
season15.714.999.2104.7
opponent15.815.5102.099.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHH14.314.014.614.714.4
LAL15.714.216.113.014.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chuck Person16140.05-0.550.59-0.043-313414.914.30.6414.614.7-0.13
Chucky Brown29310.01-0.510.520.10-3-252214.614.30.2113.915.0-1.14
Brad Miller990.00-0.500.500.15-5-231814.614.40.179.915.2-5.28
Travis Williams1416-0.00-0.500.500.18-6-221613.514.6-1.0511.315.3-4.02
Ricky Davis4244-0.10-0.400.310.29-13-15214.514.40.1312.816.2-3.32
Charles Shackleford5149-0.19-0.310.130.11-10-18814.214.6-0.3914.614.7-0.11
Eldridge Recasner5354-0.22-0.280.060.37-20-8-1214.114.7-0.6313.815.8-2.04
B.J. Armstrong4645-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.04-8-201214.714.10.6315.813.82.04
Derrick Coleman5253-0.35-0.15-0.200.03-13-15214.913.81.0915.014.40.59
J.R. Reid6665-0.46-0.04-0.420.24-24-4-2013.915.4-1.4815.712.82.84
Bobby Phills6766-0.48-0.02-0.450.17-22-6-1614.614.00.6015.612.92.71
David Wesley5049-0.49-0.01-0.470.07-19-9-1014.414.4-0.0916.113.32.80

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shaquille O'Neal52510.54-0.040.59-0.162442015.314.01.3114.314.5-0.23
Kobe Bryant64640.52-0.020.54-0.272712614.614.8-0.1715.013.41.55
Eddie Jones57570.51-0.010.52-0.051991016.012.93.1414.314.5-0.25
Derek Fisher59580.440.060.37-0.272442014.914.30.5714.015.0-1.06
Travis Knight46460.330.170.16-0.051315-215.014.40.5815.213.71.48
Corie Blount39390.130.37-0.25-0.14919-1014.314.9-0.6714.014.7-0.67
Derek Harper40410.060.44-0.37-0.05424-2014.314.9-0.5715.014.01.06
Sean Rooks22210.040.46-0.41-0.07424-2014.114.9-0.7712.015.0-2.99
Sam Jacobson21190.000.50-0.50-0.06226-2413.615.0-1.4212.914.8-1.87
Ruben Patterson21190.000.50-0.50-0.06226-2413.615.0-1.4212.914.8-1.87
Rick Fox4851-0.030.53-0.56-0.321018-814.015.4-1.3715.013.81.15
Elden Campbell2629-0.040.54-0.59-0.10226-2414.314.8-0.4615.613.91.67


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 67, UTA 860.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%
PHX 83, DAL 970.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
ATL 81, DET 1080.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%