NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	83		Excitement	3.5 [1082]		MVP	Nick Van Exel (DAL): +7.9%
Dallas Mavericks	97		Comeback	1.2 [1206]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (PHX): -18.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tom Gugliotta	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	6	100%	0.10	2	-0.04	1	100%	-0.00
Randy Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Langhi	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	9	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	70%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Bo Outlaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	8	56%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.08	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	13	45%	-0.02	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.17	-0.00	-0.08	8	28%	-0.04	5	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.02	-0.02	17	37%	-0.09	5	-0.10	6	83%	-0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.03	-0.04	8	72%	0.12	4	-0.04	2	100%	-0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	16	55%	0.07	1	-0.02	8	87%	-0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.01	-0.05	4	69%	0.05	2	-0.01	8	62%	-0.01
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.01	0.05	7	81%	0.03	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Avery Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	10	60%	0.05	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.01
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.03	18	47%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	4	0%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.0	26.5	16.6	25.6	3.3	28.4	127.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +25.8%

DAL +7.2%

PHX -5.0%

DAL +25.0%

PHX -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DAL	NBA	PHX	DAL	NBA
this game	15.5	15.3	15.5	90.2	102.1	101.6
season	15.0	15.1		101.1	108.6
opponent	15.3	15.9		102.0	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.3	14.3	17.0	14.7	15.5
DAL	12.6	13.9	17.3	18.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Casey Jacobsen	38	37	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.17	6	-20	26	14.0	16.6	-2.63	17.3	13.9	3.38
Dan Langhi	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-20	26	12.0	15.8	-3.84	16.3	15.2	1.10
Randy Brown	10	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-12	10	11.9	16.0	-4.09	14.8	15.3	-0.50
Amar'e Stoudemire	47	46	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.17	4	-18	22	14.1	17.0	-2.94	16.5	14.1	2.40
Anfernee Hardaway	37	37	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	-8	2	15.1	15.9	-0.77	17.3	13.9	3.38
Bo Outlaw	33	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	-5	-4	14.2	16.3	-2.03	15.8	14.9	0.90
Jake Tsakalidis	38	39	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.07	-12	-2	-10	17.2	14.4	2.84	14.3	16.0	-1.71
Joe Johnson	58	61	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.07	-11	-3	-8	16.1	14.7	1.38	14.3	17.0	-2.70
Stephon Marbury	71	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.24	-6	-8	2	16.1	13.8	2.25	14.3	18.5	-4.19
Tom Gugliotta	45	49	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.08	-18	4	-22	17.0	14.1	2.94	14.1	16.5	-2.40
Shawn Marion	76	79	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.11	-22	8	-30	16.2	12.4	3.84	15.2	15.7	-0.59

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	77	77	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.21	25	-11	36	14.8	17.1	-2.28	16.7	9.7	7.02
Michael Finley	73	70	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.19	22	-8	30	14.5	17.8	-3.33	15.9	14.5	1.43
Steve Nash	63	60	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.14	20	-6	26	14.6	16.7	-2.10	16.5	13.7	2.80
Eduardo Najera	63	62	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.03	12	2	10	16.4	13.1	3.27	15.0	16.6	-1.62
Shawn Bradley	45	44	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.08	7	7	0	15.2	15.3	-0.08	16.6	14.6	2.01
Nick Van Exel	39	37	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	11	-8	15.7	15.0	0.73	15.0	15.9	-0.91
Raef LaFrentz	39	35	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.00	3	11	-8	13.5	16.5	-3.01	15.4	15.6	-0.19
Raja Bell	21	21	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.25	-6	20	-26	16.8	14.8	1.92	13.8	16.1	-2.25
Walt Williams	43	43	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.14	-3	17	-20	17.2	13.6	3.60	14.0	16.9	-2.81
Avery Johnson	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	20	-26	16.3	15.2	1.10	12.0	15.8	-3.84
Evan Eschmeyer	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	21	-28	14.4	15.3	-0.91	7.0	15.9	-8.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 81, DET 108	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
MEM 82, CHI 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
CHH 88, LAL 116	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%