NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	67		Excitement	3.1 [1157]		MVP	Matt Harpring (UTA): +9.9%
Utah Jazz	86		Comeback	1.0 [1215]		LVP	Quentin Richardson (LAC): -13.5%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	6	68%	0.05	0	0.00	7	71%	0.01
Bobby Simmons	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	4	60%	0.00	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	14	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Marko Jaric	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Kaman	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.02	-0.04	8	36%	-0.07	3	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.19	-0.01	-0.07	19	18%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.01	-0.06	11	69%	0.13	3	-0.03	7	100%	0.04
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	10	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	57%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Ben Handlogten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raul Lopez	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	58%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.11	0.00	-0.10	10	20%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	10	46%	-0.03	1	-0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	5	50%	0.00	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.12	0.00	-0.06	7	45%	-0.01	4	-0.05	8	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.7	29.0	15.7	25.4	2.6	30.8	128.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +31.4%

UTA +6.4%

UTA +15.1%

LAC -2.9%

LAC -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	UTA	NBA	LAC	UTA	NBA
this game	16.0	17.9	15.7	78.8	101.2	100.5
season	15.5	17.2		101.3	99.4
opponent	15.2	15.4		100.8	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.2	19.8	15.0	13.7	16.0
UTA	17.3	19.2	17.7	17.7	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Melvin Ely	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-23	27	12.3	16.5	-4.15	15.8	18.2	-2.40
Keyon Dooling	20	22	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	-16	13	15.9	16.0	-0.08	18.4	17.7	0.66
Elton Brand	30	29	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-14	9	16.2	15.8	0.42	20.5	16.6	3.89
Marko Jaric	51	51	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-17	15	15.1	17.2	-2.12	19.5	15.6	3.88
Bobby Simmons	51	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.15	-12	-7	-5	15.1	17.3	-2.26	18.0	17.8	0.16
Chris Kaman	48	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.00	-10	-9	-1	15.5	16.5	-1.02	18.6	17.1	1.47
Predrag Drobnjak	39	39	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	-6	-7	16.9	15.2	1.68	16.4	19.2	-2.88
Doug Overton	51	50	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.14	-19	0	-19	16.1	15.8	0.33	17.6	18.4	-0.82
Quentin Richardson	63	63	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.13	-19	0	-19	16.9	13.2	3.69	16.9	20.8	-3.91
Corey Maggette	62	62	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.05	-16	-3	-13	16.6	14.3	2.28	17.3	19.5	-2.14

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raul Lopez	54	53	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.13	20	-1	21	16.7	20.1	-3.43	16.3	15.3	1.00
Andrei Kirilenko	64	65	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.14	20	-1	21	16.7	21.7	-4.98	16.4	14.4	1.98
Matt Harpring	67	65	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.15	20	-1	21	17.8	18.2	-0.39	17.3	11.5	5.77
Greg Ostertag	51	53	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.01	15	4	11	17.5	18.6	-1.12	16.1	15.7	0.34
DeShawn Stevenson	38	39	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.07	11	8	3	17.5	18.3	-0.76	16.0	15.9	0.07
Raja Bell	47	46	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.01	8	11	-3	18.3	17.5	0.76	15.9	16.0	-0.07
Jarron Collins	40	39	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	15	-11	19.6	16.4	3.27	14.9	16.8	-1.88
Sasha Pavlovic	25	26	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.06	1	18	-17	19.6	17.2	2.38	14.6	16.6	-2.00
Mo Williams	31	32	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.07	-1	20	-21	20.1	16.7	3.43	15.3	16.3	-1.00
Ben Handlogten	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	22	-25	17.4	18.0	-0.60	8.9	16.6	-7.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 88, MIA 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
DET 86, NYK 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
LAC 91, MEM 106	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%