inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 87 Excitement5.1 [487] MVPGrant Long (ATL): +14.6%
Chicago Bulls 71 Comeback1.1 [667] LVPToni Kukoc (CHI): -12.4%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Grant Long0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.020.08-0.041158%0.161-0.0220%-0.05
Dikembe Mutombo0.020,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.00-0.01765%0.052-0.033100%0.02
Anthony Johnson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Steven Smith0.010,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.040.010.051761%0.021-0.011567%-0.06
Chris Crawford0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.01343%0.0100.001100%0.00
Alan Henderson-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.021054%0.012-0.04667%-0.02
Mark West-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Ed Gray-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.00-0.01520%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
LaPhonso Ellis-0.070,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.03-0.02520%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Tyrone Corbin-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.020.0010%-0.022-0.0600%0.00
Mookie Blaylock-0.090,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.04945%-0.004-0.0920%-0.05

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mark Bryant0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.130.130.080.03-0.031167%0.1300.0020%-0.02
Rusty LaRue0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.00275%0.0300.0000%0.00
Dickey Simpkins00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Randy Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.020.01750%-0.021-0.032100%0.01
Bill Wennington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.07-0.01-0.03833%-0.0510.0020%-0.00
Kornel David0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.03-0.00425%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Cory Carr0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.020.0010%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Andrew Lang0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.031331%-0.071-0.0100%0.00
Ron Harper0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.11-0.01-0.031233%-0.033-0.0500%0.00
Brent Barry0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.15-0.01-0.04822%-0.043-0.0820%-0.03
Toni Kukoc0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.13-0.04-0.042035%-0.091-0.03650%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.62.629.216.324.42.30.098.4
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +45.3%
ATL +7.1%
ATL +6.4%
CHI -11.7%
ATL +2.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLCHINBAATLCHINBA
this game16.217.915.8102.484.599.6
season16.716.797.290.6
opponent15.416.3101.194.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL13.817.016.917.716.2
CHI15.616.519.121.317.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Steven Smith72710.63-0.130.76-0.0724-83216.116.9-0.8718.415.23.16
Alan Henderson64650.61-0.110.72-0.0623-73016.116.6-0.5118.715.23.55
Mookie Blaylock65630.60-0.100.700.0419-32216.415.50.8318.815.23.62
Dikembe Mutombo67660.440.060.38-0.1520-42416.415.40.9417.519.4-1.96
Grant Long60580.400.100.300.1497217.114.03.1618.317.11.14
Tyrone Corbin16150.210.29-0.070.10412-815.216.4-1.1622.117.05.15
LaPhonso Ellis22220.090.41-0.32-0.1179-213.917.0-3.1416.918.3-1.35
Anthony Johnson2021-0.100.60-0.70-0.01-319-2215.516.4-0.8315.218.8-3.62
Mark West77-0.120.62-0.740.08-723-3018.116.02.1312.618.4-5.82
Ed Gray1313-0.130.63-0.760.10-824-3216.916.10.8715.218.4-3.16
Chris Crawford1919-0.130.63-0.770.10-824-3215.716.3-0.5815.318.7-3.35

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bill Wennington25260.01-0.510.530.010-161617.218.2-0.9518.115.42.72
Cory Carr76-0.08-0.420.33-0.03-2-141216.418.0-1.6116.716.20.51
Rusty LaRue88-0.14-0.360.21-0.03-4-12818.017.90.1117.016.10.90
Dickey Simpkins66-0.15-0.350.21-0.06-3-131019.717.81.9012.316.5-4.15
Brent Barry5152-0.17-0.330.150.18-12-4-816.619.9-3.2515.517.2-1.72
Randy Brown4041-0.18-0.320.14-0.273-192218.817.11.6615.916.4-0.50
Kornel David3133-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.18-3-131017.018.5-1.4914.417.3-2.93
Mark Bryant5555-0.27-0.23-0.030.20-160-1618.317.21.1216.914.92.04
Toni Kukoc7373-0.34-0.16-0.170.02-12-4-817.818.5-0.7416.812.34.49
Ron Harper6263-0.42-0.08-0.340.08-171-1818.516.12.4616.814.52.22
Andrew Lang6262-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.09-14-2-1218.217.01.2915.318.5-3.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.27,0.3,0.4,0.43,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.26,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.02,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 92, LAC 830.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.29,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.01,090.4%
MIA 86, NJN 800.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.31,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.21,0.24,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,090.2%
DET 105, NYK 920.5,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.32,0.21,0.22,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,090.2%