NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	92		Excitement	5.7 [687]		MVP	Carl Landry (HOU): +24.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	83		Comeback	1.0 [1057]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): -10.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.07	0.17	-0.01	14	59%	0.27	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Metta World Peace	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.06	-0.00	21	50%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Brent Barry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	10	70%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.02	-0.02	12	43%	0.05	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.02
Aaron Brooks	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	12	55%	0.06	4	-0.11	5	80%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	5	17%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.01	18	57%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	18	61%	0.13	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	10	35%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	58%	0.04	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Al Thornton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	11	42%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	3	10%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.0	29.0	15.8	25.7	1.8	29.4	127.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +34.1%

HOU +14.0%

HOU +3.1%

LAC -5.5%

HOU +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAC	NBA	HOU	LAC	NBA
this game	17.2	15.4	15.5	104.5	93.3	106.4
season	16.3	15.7		105.9	100.7
opponent	15.1	15.2		109.8	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.7	16.9	17.0	18.2	17.2
LAC	14.6	15.2	15.1	16.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rafer Alston	71	72	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	-3	15	17.5	16.1	1.39	15.5	14.7	0.82
Carl Landry	53	53	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.37	1	8	-7	17.3	16.9	0.40	15.9	14.6	1.28
Metta World Peace	75	77	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	-2	13	17.1	17.4	-0.24	15.7	13.3	2.35
Yao Ming	69	69	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.04	10	-1	11	17.0	17.8	-0.84	15.3	15.5	-0.17
Tracy McGrady	48	48	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.05	9	0	9	17.2	17.2	-0.03	15.1	15.7	-0.67
Brent Barry	53	53	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.37	-2	11	-13	17.2	17.1	0.16	15.2	15.6	-0.45
Charles Hayes	19	20	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.19	-1	10	-11	17.8	17.0	0.84	15.5	15.3	0.17
Luis Scola	34	35	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.07	6	3	3	17.2	17.1	0.09	14.9	15.7	-0.85
Aaron Brooks	18	18	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	10	-11	15.6	17.6	-2.04	14.2	15.7	-1.44

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Novak	7	8	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-11	13	13.9	15.5	-1.64	14.7	17.4	-2.68
Tim Thomas	8	8	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-7	5	13.9	15.5	-1.64	20.2	16.9	3.37
Mike Taylor	14	14	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.04	-3	-6	3	14.2	15.6	-1.37	18.8	16.9	1.91
Al Thornton	56	56	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.09	-2	-7	5	14.9	16.1	-1.14	17.6	16.5	1.02
Eric Gordon	32	30	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.12	-2	-7	5	15.5	15.3	0.15	17.2	17.2	-0.02
Brian Skinner	39	38	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	-5	1	14.9	15.7	-0.84	17.0	17.3	-0.37
Cuttino Mobley	40	41	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	3	-15	15.6	15.2	0.42	16.8	17.5	-0.71
Ricky Davis	50	49	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-7	5	15.6	15.1	0.52	17.1	17.3	-0.23
Chris Kaman	77	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.16	-7	-2	-5	15.1	16.9	-1.79	17.4	15.7	1.75
Baron Davis	75	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.20	-6	-3	-3	15.6	14.2	1.37	16.9	18.8	-1.91
Marcus Camby	47	46	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.22	-7	-2	-5	16.6	14.0	2.69	16.8	17.5	-0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.29,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 86, NJN 80	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.31,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.21,0.24,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.9%
PHI 94, TOR 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.48,0.36,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.33,0.24,0.15,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.01,0	93.8%
MIA 90, CLE 78	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.5%