inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 90 Excitement5.0 [779] MVPKeith Askins (MIA): +12.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers 78 Comeback1.3 [636] LVPAlonzo Mourning (MIA): -15.8%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Keith Askins0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.100.020.003133%0.1200.0000%0.00
Dan Majerle0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.140.030.096100%0.0800.00250%-0.02
Tim Hardaway0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.010.012363%0.184-0.1000%0.00
P.J. Brown0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.00-0.00-0.01650%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Mark Strickland0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Duane Causwell0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Terry Mills-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01350%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Eric Murdock-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.041136%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Voshon Lenard-0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.010.011241%-0.0600.00367%-0.01
Ike Austin-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.01729%-0.022-0.0600%0.00
Alonzo Mourning-0.160,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.02-0.021023%-0.141-0.02633%-0.05

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Cedric Henderson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.010.01867%0.0600.002100%0.01
Brevin Knight0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.010.00580%0.072-0.0700%0.00
Henry James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.060.000.061117%0.0000.004100%0.00
Scott Brooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.02546%0.011-0.03367%0.00
Wesley Person0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.02939%-0.031-0.0000%0.00
Derek Anderson0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.090.03-0.031340%0.012-0.044100%0.06
Vitaly Potapenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.010.01460%-0.002-0.052100%0.01
Shawn Kemp0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.02-0.021250%-0.013-0.06650%-0.04
Danny Ferry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.02-0.00433%-0.041-0.031100%0.01
Shawnelle Scott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.04-0.02425%-0.022-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.62.023.715.027.01.827.3123.4
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +31.6%
CLE -21.2%
MIA +25.0%
MIA +13.9%
MIA +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIACLENBAMIACLENBA
this game16.817.515.6105.994.0102.5
season15.815.4104.799.4
opponent16.016.297.099.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA13.219.915.619.516.8
CLE16.816.918.018.417.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Hardaway70690.51-0.010.52-0.0720-82816.219.6-3.4017.915.72.14
Alonzo Mourning61580.420.080.34-0.0516-42017.116.10.9416.320.4-4.10
Voshon Lenard67640.320.180.140.0984416.418.3-1.9517.517.6-0.18
Terry Mills32310.280.220.070.1748-418.415.82.6317.617.40.14
P.J. Brown49490.250.250.01-0.1313-11415.219.0-3.8219.015.43.58
Dan Majerle49480.250.250.00-0.1313-11415.019.3-4.3517.817.00.80
Keith Askins36350.250.25-0.000.28-113-1419.315.04.3517.017.8-0.80
Eric Murdock33330.170.33-0.170.28-416-2018.915.53.4516.817.9-1.12
Ike Austin21210.040.46-0.420.04012-1215.117.3-2.2018.717.11.57
Mark Strickland440.000.50-0.500.12-416-2024.516.48.0814.017.7-3.67
Duane Causwell330.000.50-0.500.15-517-2221.716.65.0413.017.7-4.66

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Henry James10100.03-0.530.57-0.208-202813.918.0-4.0920.716.34.42
Danny Ferry29280.03-0.530.56-0.208-202819.316.52.7416.417.0-0.61
Scott Brooks1919-0.06-0.440.39-0.112-141618.617.21.4116.117.0-0.96
Vitaly Potapenko1415-0.09-0.410.31-0.03-2-10816.217.8-1.5420.216.14.13
Shawnelle Scott1314-0.15-0.350.21-0.181-131418.217.40.7817.616.61.01
Wesley Person7274-0.24-0.260.01-0.07-6-6017.517.6-0.1617.313.53.84
Brevin Knight3031-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.17-4-8418.317.01.2617.516.41.03
Zydrunas Ilgauskas4950-0.37-0.13-0.250.10-164-2016.419.0-2.5516.517.2-0.73
Shawn Kemp6163-0.42-0.08-0.340.02-153-1817.617.10.5516.218.5-2.23
Cedric Henderson6668-0.45-0.05-0.410.10-197-2617.417.7-0.2716.020.0-4.00
Derek Anderson5253-0.49-0.01-0.490.01-175-2217.417.6-0.1916.317.7-1.37


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 110, LAL 820.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.2%
HOU 108, PHX 890.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.28,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.06,0.08,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,094.0%
LAC 105, LAL 950.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.24,0.14,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,093.9%