NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	96		Excitement	9.3 [84]		MVP	Doug Christie (TOR): +44.3%
New Jersey Nets	92		Comeback	9.8 [16]		LVP	Sam Cassell (NJN): -40.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Christie	0.44	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.09,0.44	0.02	0.44	0.02	16	61%	0.52	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.06
Chauncey Billups	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.21	0.12	0.09	0.00	8	86%	0.24	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.07
Alvin Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Garner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oliver Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Slater	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	5	46%	-0.02	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.2	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	14	45%	-0.00	5	-0.19	5	60%	-0.05
Dee Brown	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2	-0.12	-0.07	0.01	9	30%	-0.12	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.13	-0.09	-0.01	12	33%	-0.10	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	-0.22	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.11	-0.10	0.01	17	44%	-0.09	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendall Gill	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.11	0.15	-0.01	17	66%	0.29	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
David Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	6	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brian Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	0.01	-0.02	8	12%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	23	45%	-0.02	3	-0.12	9	78%	0.01
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.25	-0.25	-0.09	-0.15	0.02	19	32%	-0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.28	-0.28	-0.14	-0.15	-0.00	7	14%	-0.19	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27,-0.22,-0.41	-0.41	-0.16	-0.25	-0.00	16	47%	-0.08	8	-0.33	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.6	27.2	15.8	26.1	1.8	36.0	131.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +69.1%

TOR +25.6%

NJN -26.7%

NJN -3.8%

NJN -14.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NJN	NBA	TOR	NJN	NBA
this game	14.1	14.5	15.6	95.0	91.1	102.5
season	15.5	15.6		98.7	104.9
opponent	15.2	14.8		103.9	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	12.3	15.0	13.7	15.7	14.1
NJN	13.4	12.6	14.0	18.5	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Wallace	73	74	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.39	10	-6	16	14.0	14.2	-0.16	14.6	14.0	0.67
Chauncey Billups	68	69	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.47	5	-1	6	14.1	14.0	0.09	15.1	13.1	1.99
Dee Brown	46	45	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.43	2	2	0	13.8	14.3	-0.51	14.0	14.8	-0.82
Doug Christie	84	84	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.41	2	2	0	14.2	13.1	1.13	14.8	12.6	2.25
Marcus Camby	90	90	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.48	-2	6	-8	14.5	10.2	4.35	14.5	14.0	0.51
Alvin Williams	17	16	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.07	5	-1	6	13.1	14.2	-1.13	13.9	14.6	-0.69
Tracy McGrady	73	74	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.08	4	0	4	14.0	14.3	-0.36	14.1	15.3	-1.15
Chris Garner	1	0	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	4	-4	0.0	14.2	-14.20	0.0	14.5	-14.46
Reggie Slater	28	27	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.07	0	4	-4	13.0	14.5	-1.42	13.4	14.8	-1.38
John Thomas	14	15	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.06	-2	6	-8	14.4	14.0	0.43	15.1	14.3	0.80
Oliver Miller	11	11	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	8	-12	15.5	13.9	1.67	12.3	14.7	-2.45

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Cage	43	44	0.35	-0.85	1.20	-0.12	16	-20	36	13.6	15.1	-1.52	15.1	13.2	1.91
David Vaughn	15	15	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.10	1	-5	6	16.7	14.1	2.68	14.7	14.0	0.71
Lucious Harris	26	28	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.04	5	-9	14	13.9	14.6	-0.72	14.3	14.0	0.31
Brian Evans	27	27	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.18	-5	1	-6	14.9	14.3	0.64	13.3	14.3	-1.04
Sherman Douglas	31	33	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.10	-4	0	-4	15.1	14.2	0.97	13.8	14.2	-0.36
Sam Cassell	75	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.43	2	-6	8	14.5	14.4	0.10	14.3	13.4	0.92
Kendall Gill	74	74	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.56	1	-5	6	14.3	14.9	-0.64	14.3	13.3	1.04
Keith Van Horn	83	81	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.33	-9	5	-14	14.4	14.6	-0.19	14.1	13.7	0.39
Kerry Kittles	71	70	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.40	-11	7	-18	14.2	15.1	-0.96	13.6	15.2	-1.64
Chris Gatling	60	60	-0.88	0.38	-1.25	-0.41	-16	12	-28	14.7	14.0	0.73	13.3	15.1	-1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.91,0.82,0.85,0.61,0.38,0.36,0.47,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 87, MIN 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.7,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.71,0.6,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.42,0	90.6%
NJN 96, ORL 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.86,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.76,0.61,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.58,0	90.6%
ATL 114, MIL 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.9,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.84,0.76,0.73,0.54,0.37,0.33,0.42,0	90.5%