NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	101		Excitement	3.9 [993]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +10.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	109		Comeback	1.4 [705]		LVP	Vlade Divac (CHH): -7.0%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
B.J. Armstrong	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	-0.01	5	75%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Anthony Mason	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.01	0.05	6	79%	0.04	0	0.00	7	100%	0.04
David Wesley	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	11	73%	0.09	4	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Vernon Maxwell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
J.R. Reid	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Glen Rice	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	18	49%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Donald Royal	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Phills	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	9	32%	-0.03	3	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Matt Geiger	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.02	12	46%	-0.04	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	43%	-0.05	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.02	-0.01	18	62%	0.12	1	-0.01	12	92%	0.03
Derrick Coleman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.03	18	56%	0.09	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.03
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	5	77%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	10	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	87%	0.02	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	5	43%	-0.00	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.5	25.8	15.5	30.3	1.7	41.4	140.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +30.1%

PHI +11.3%

PHI +9.1%

CHH -1.2%

PHI +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	PHI	NBA	CHH	PHI	NBA
this game	14.7	16.5	15.6	109.8	117.2	102.5
season	15.7	15.4		104.0	99.7
opponent	15.5	15.9		102.1	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	15.3	17.7	13.6	12.5	14.7
PHI	16.0	15.8	17.0	17.0	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
B.J. Armstrong	26	26	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.23	6	-14	20	12.3	15.6	-3.21	16.5	16.4	0.09
J.R. Reid	25	27	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-10	12	14.4	14.7	-0.29	19.0	15.4	3.56
Vernon Maxwell	11	11	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-5	2	15.5	14.5	0.91	19.6	16.0	3.59
Vlade Divac	38	38	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.32	7	-15	22	13.7	15.3	-1.65	16.1	16.8	-0.71
Bobby Phills	67	67	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.28	4	-12	16	14.5	15.1	-0.59	17.5	13.8	3.65
Dell Curry	12	11	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.04	-9	1	-10	16.1	14.4	1.65	14.7	16.7	-1.98
Glen Rice	72	72	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.38	5	-13	18	14.0	17.1	-3.19	16.5	16.2	0.30
Donald Royal	12	13	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.11	-13	5	-18	17.0	14.3	2.70	13.5	17.0	-3.50
Matt Geiger	57	57	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.00	-12	4	-16	15.5	13.3	2.21	16.3	16.7	-0.36
David Wesley	65	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.07	-10	2	-12	15.3	13.1	2.18	15.5	19.0	-3.56
Anthony Mason	75	76	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.04	-17	9	-26	14.9	13.5	1.38	16.1	18.2	-2.08

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	53	52	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.04	16	-8	24	15.8	17.4	-1.58	15.8	13.2	2.57
Allen Iverson	82	81	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.14	12	-4	16	16.0	20.2	-4.21	14.7	14.0	0.74
Derrick Coleman	80	78	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.15	9	-1	10	16.7	15.2	1.44	14.9	13.4	1.44
Scott Williams	30	30	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.09	8	0	8	14.1	17.6	-3.50	15.3	14.3	1.01
Mark Davis	19	20	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.07	13	-5	18	14.5	17.0	-2.45	17.4	13.9	3.51
Theo Ratliff	66	65	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.26	0	8	-8	17.6	13.7	3.85	14.5	14.9	-0.39
Joe Smith	36	35	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	3	2	18.2	15.4	2.90	14.9	14.5	0.38
Aaron McKie	59	59	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.37	-9	17	-26	16.4	16.6	-0.18	13.2	17.2	-3.94
Anthony Parker	7	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	9	-10	22.0	16.0	5.98	15.3	14.6	0.69
Tim Thomas	33	33	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.27	-13	21	-34	16.4	16.5	-0.17	12.2	16.0	-3.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.87,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 84, SAC 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.7,0.65,0.58,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.9,0.98,1,1,1	95.8%
TOR 107, SAS 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,1,1,1	95.5%
UTA 90, MIN 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.88,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.5%