inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 107 Excitement3.7 [1064] MVPDanny Green (SAS): +15.2%
San Antonio Spurs 117 Comeback1.2 [1074] LVPBoris Diaw (SAS): -8.9%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Lowry0.060,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.22-0.000.161971%0.081-0.027100%0.03
Lou Williams0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.011055%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Jonas Valanciunas0.020,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.00-0.01664%0.042-0.02250%-0.01
James Johnson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.000.01560%0.0200.0000%0.00
Greivis Vasquez-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00350%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Tyler Hansbrough-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Amir Johnson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.02-0.010.051453%-0.031-0.0120%-0.01
DeMar DeRozan-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.02-0.020.041849%-0.021-0.02771%-0.02
Terrence Ross-0.060,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.09-0.00-0.03928%-0.042-0.0200%0.00
Patrick Patterson-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.10-0.00-0.031118%-0.0700.0000%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danny Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.190.000.047100%0.161-0.01580%0.00
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.080.010.003100%0.1000.002100%0.01
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.100.000.024125%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Kawhi Leonard0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.020.031957%0.081-0.024100%0.01
Aron Baynes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.080.000.043100%0.0400.001100%0.00
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.03642%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Jeff Ayres00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Reggie Williams00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.01-0.021243%0.011-0.01450%-0.01
Tony Parker0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.000.032050%0.011-0.02667%-0.01
Tiago Splitter0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.06-0.00-0.04637%-0.002-0.024100%0.01
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.000.01330%-0.0300.00475%0.00
Boris Diaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.00-0.0120%-0.033-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.02.627.814.823.30.837.6130.9
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +38.1%
SAS +5.5%
SAS +7.0%
TOR -2.5%
SAS +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORSASNBATORSASNBA
this game14.715.315.1111.5121.9104.2
season15.615.4109.1106.9
opponent14.915.0101.1106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR15.116.714.213.114.7
SAS17.614.616.513.115.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyler Hansbrough14140.03-0.530.57-0.115-152014.114.8-0.6316.015.20.79
Terrence Ross4849-0.13-0.370.24-0.161-111214.914.50.3516.214.41.72
James Johnson109-0.15-0.350.200.06-7-3-417.614.33.2614.715.4-0.72
Amir Johnson6769-0.20-0.300.10-0.231-111214.016.2-2.1415.215.5-0.27
Greivis Vasquez2927-0.26-0.24-0.020.03-100-1015.214.40.8116.215.01.25
Jonas Valanciunas4242-0.32-0.18-0.130.24-199-2815.514.11.4215.415.30.06
Kyle Lowry8587-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.26-3-7414.912.72.2015.018.3-3.32
Patrick Patterson5958-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.370-101014.515.0-0.5315.315.30.01
Lou Williams4847-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.05-111-1214.514.9-0.3514.416.2-1.72
DeMar DeRozan7878-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.18-7-3-414.216.8-2.5915.415.20.19

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Danny Green52520.480.020.46-0.0518-82615.215.5-0.2414.714.60.08
Tiago Splitter52540.440.060.37-0.4129-194814.815.9-1.0815.813.22.56
Kawhi Leonard76750.370.130.250.0212-21416.112.23.9414.614.9-0.29
Boris Diaw31320.290.210.080.2037-417.014.52.4315.314.31.00
Tony Parker73700.290.210.070.0873416.212.43.8614.814.40.35
Tim Duncan72690.240.26-0.030.2119-816.810.95.8814.615.0-0.45
Patty Mills20230.210.29-0.07-0.0282614.015.7-1.6715.814.31.51
Marco Belinelli40410.170.33-0.160.20-111-1214.915.6-0.7315.414.21.20
Aron Baynes14130.070.43-0.360.07010-1010.516.1-5.6513.214.9-1.67
Jeff Ayres330.000.50-0.500.15-515-201.715.8-14.103.715.0-11.37
Reggie Williams330.000.50-0.500.15-515-201.715.8-14.103.715.0-11.37
Cory Joseph2424-0.020.52-0.540.24-919-2813.715.9-2.2113.615.0-1.40
Matt Bonner2021-0.030.53-0.560.20-818-2614.215.6-1.4213.715.0-1.29


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 93, MIA 1000.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,1,1,0.99,1,0.98,0.98,196.7%
MEM 100, WAS 1180.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%
POR 94, CHA 1060.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.97,0.9,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.95,1,1,196.4%