NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	94		Excitement	2.6 [1252]		MVP	Nicolas Batum (CHA): +15.9%
Charlotte Hornets	106		Comeback	1.1 [964]		LVP	Gerald Henderson (POR): -7.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Crabbe	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.13	-0.01	0.06	11	77%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	18	40%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Pat Connaughton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	56%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Mason Plumlee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Cliff Alexander	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ed Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.11	0.00	-0.08	25	42%	0.02	5	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.06	5	58%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Gerald Henderson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.21	0.01	0.06	19	73%	0.16	2	-0.01	7	86%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.19	0.00	0.10	17	76%	0.12	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.00	-0.03	10	65%	0.09	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	-0.06	12	54%	0.09	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.09	9	28%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Hairston	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	4	10%	-0.04	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	8	39%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.6	32.4	15.4	23.3	1.6	32.2	129.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +44.1%

POR -3.8%

POR -1.2%

CHA +9.6%

CHA +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	CHA	NBA	POR	CHA	NBA
this game	14.4	15.9	14.9	98.9	111.6	105.1
season	15.0	15.1		107.1	105.5
opponent	14.8	14.6		103.6	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.9	16.7	13.9	12.3	14.4
CHA	17.2	14.0	14.3	18.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pat Connaughton	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-14	16	7.0	14.6	-7.57	19.5	15.8	3.67
Tim Frazier	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-14	16	7.0	14.6	-7.57	19.5	15.8	3.67
Al-Farouq Aminu	44	45	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.10	0	-12	12	14.6	14.3	0.29	15.4	16.4	-0.96
Cliff Alexander	34	33	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.34	8	-20	28	12.9	15.2	-2.33	17.2	15.2	2.05
Mason Plumlee	50	49	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.15	-10	-2	-8	15.0	13.8	1.16	15.1	16.7	-1.57
Noah Vonleh	48	48	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	-6	0	14.7	14.1	0.52	15.0	16.8	-1.75
Damian Lillard	75	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.08	-12	0	-12	14.4	14.6	-0.24	15.1	19.0	-3.98
Gerald Henderson	12	12	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.16	-15	3	-18	16.7	14.1	2.68	16.9	15.8	1.16
Maurice Harkless	39	39	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-7	2	15.0	14.0	1.00	17.6	14.7	2.81
Allen Crabbe	53	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-4	-4	13.8	15.2	-1.44	16.0	15.7	0.30
Ed Davis	43	44	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-8	4	14.1	14.7	-0.54	16.6	15.3	1.28
CJ McCollum	73	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.05	-12	0	-12	14.9	12.9	1.95	15.8	16.3	-0.48

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lamb	58	56	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.09	21	-9	30	15.5	16.5	-0.95	13.8	15.2	-1.39
Marvin Williams	67	68	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	3	6	15.9	16.0	-0.13	15.0	12.9	2.18
Cody Zeller	41	40	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.12	7	5	2	16.7	15.3	1.33	14.6	14.2	0.41
Al Jefferson	61	61	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.02	10	2	8	15.7	16.3	-0.56	14.2	14.8	-0.60
Jeremy Lin	39	40	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.08	6	6	0	16.3	15.6	0.73	14.5	14.3	0.15
Nicolas Batum	78	79	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.10	5	7	-2	15.7	16.8	-1.12	13.9	16.9	-3.04
Spencer Hawes	34	34	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	10	-8	16.3	15.7	0.56	14.8	14.2	0.60
Kemba Walker	73	73	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	10	-8	15.6	17.0	-1.37	14.2	15.0	-0.83
PJ Hairston	18	18	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.06	5	7	-2	15.8	15.9	-0.16	15.8	14.1	1.76
Brian Roberts	6	6	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.20	-7	19	-26	18.8	15.7	3.13	15.3	14.3	0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.97,0.9,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.95,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 98, BOS 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
NOH 70, PHI 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
PHI 84, HOU 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%