NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	100		Excitement	2.4 [1226]		MVP	Michael Jordan (WAS): +15.6%
Washington Wizards	118		Comeback	1.5 [925]		LVP	Gordan Giricek (MEM): -6.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stromile Swift	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.03	5	83%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	11	55%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.06	13	66%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Shane Battier	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	5	75%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Mike Batiste	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	8	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	0.00	0.07	15	69%	0.03	4	-0.05	6	83%	-0.00
Gordan Giricek	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	10	24%	-0.06	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.00	-0.03	23	67%	0.17	3	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	2	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	8	78%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	17	66%	0.06	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	8	65%	0.03	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.02	9	67%	0.04	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	6	50%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.4	27.5	15.7	22.4	2.5	26.3	118.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +37.8%

WAS +3.9%

WAS +6.3%

WAS +3.3%

MEM -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	WAS	NBA	MEM	WAS	NBA
this game	16.5	15.8	15.5	112.4	132.6	101.6
season	15.3	16.5		101.8	100.9
opponent	15.5	15.2		101.9	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.2	17.1	16.0	15.7	16.5
WAS	12.8	15.6	17.4	17.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Batiste	22	21	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-17	16	15.7	16.8	-1.08	17.8	15.2	2.60
Earl Watson	15	14	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-16	14	17.6	16.3	1.28	14.9	16.0	-1.06
Wesley Person	56	55	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-19	20	15.5	18.3	-2.85	16.4	14.8	1.61
Drew Gooden	52	52	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.17	1	-19	20	16.1	17.2	-1.16	15.8	15.8	0.06
Jason Williams	57	57	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.11	-2	-16	14	15.6	18.2	-2.62	16.7	14.2	2.45
Brevin Knight	17	18	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.12	-14	-4	-10	18.8	16.0	2.75	13.7	16.4	-2.63
Pau Gasol	71	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.01	-11	-7	-4	16.1	18.2	-2.04	15.6	16.8	-1.20
Stromile Swift	27	27	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.08	-14	-4	-10	18.2	15.8	2.36	14.3	16.5	-2.24
Lorenzen Wright	58	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.04	-10	-8	-2	16.6	16.5	0.13	16.1	15.2	0.89
Shane Battier	37	37	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.20	-19	1	-20	17.2	16.1	1.16	15.8	15.8	-0.06
Gordan Giricek	33	34	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.18	-19	1	-20	18.3	15.5	2.85	14.8	16.4	-1.61

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brendan Haywood	75	76	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.09	19	-1	20	15.7	16.7	-1.06	16.6	16.5	0.09
Kwame Brown	54	52	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.14	19	-1	20	15.1	16.9	-1.80	17.0	15.9	1.02
Bryon Russell	30	31	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.19	20	-2	22	14.1	16.7	-2.59	18.4	15.5	2.88
Tyronn Lue	47	48	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.06	12	6	6	16.1	15.5	0.65	16.6	16.5	0.05
Jerry Stackhouse	67	67	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.17	4	14	-10	16.3	14.5	1.81	17.1	15.0	2.11
Larry Hughes	49	48	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.02	10	8	2	15.4	16.3	-0.83	16.1	17.0	-0.94
Michael Jordan	66	65	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.13	4	14	-10	16.3	14.5	1.75	16.0	18.1	-2.11
Christian Laettner	49	50	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.18	-2	20	-22	16.9	14.5	2.31	16.1	17.1	-1.05
Brian Cardinal	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	16	-14	15.2	15.8	-0.60	12.0	16.8	-4.75
Jared Jeffries	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	16	-14	15.2	15.8	-0.60	12.0	16.8	-4.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 89, NOP 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
DEN 71, LAL 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
MEM 98, BOS 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%