NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	102		Excitement	3.7 [1030]		MVP	George McCloud (PHX): +6.7%
Seattle SuperSonics	92		Comeback	1.1 [287]		LVP	Sam Perkins (SEA): -11.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George McCloud	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	4	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Antonio McDyess	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	76%	0.07	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	64%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	57%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Danny Manning	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.04	12	77%	0.08	4	-0.07	6	83%	0.00
Kevin Johnson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Dennis Scott	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	12	46%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Rex Chapman	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	15	44%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.03
Mark Bryant	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	3	45%	-0.02	4	-0.05	5	100%	0.02

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate McMillan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.07	17	61%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	16	52%	-0.01	1	-0.00	10	80%	0.01
Vin Baker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0.05	11	67%	0.01	3	-0.05	5	40%	-0.03
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	4	33%	-0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.00	9	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	4	20%	-0.05	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	69.5	1.0	23.7	15.6	30.3	1.7	35.0	176.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +37.0%

PHX +6.3%

PHX +9.5%

SEA -9.0%

PHX +6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SEA	NBA	PHX	SEA	NBA
this game	14.9	16.9	15.6	112.1	102.2	102.5
season	15.0	15.3		105.3	109.3
opponent	16.2	15.9		102.3	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	11.3	16.1	15.9	16.3	14.9
SEA	20.9	19.9	14.1	13.7	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	74	74	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.22	6	4	2	15.1	13.9	1.21	15.0	25.6	-10.52
Antonio McDyess	51	47	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.04	12	-2	14	15.1	14.7	0.40	18.4	15.3	3.17
Danny Manning	60	60	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	-4	18	13.4	17.8	-4.32	15.4	20.0	-4.63
Kevin Johnson	56	54	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	6	-2	16.0	13.2	2.85	16.7	17.2	-0.47
Rex Chapman	63	63	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.08	7	3	4	13.7	17.7	-3.98	18.4	13.4	5.06
Clifford Robinson	37	37	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	2	6	14.3	15.4	-1.10	13.9	19.0	-5.17
Mark Bryant	45	48	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.24	-1	11	-12	14.3	15.5	-1.25	19.9	13.5	6.40
Dennis Scott	23	23	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.05	3	7	-4	18.0	13.9	4.12	21.8	15.2	6.60
Hot Rod Williams	19	17	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.17	-3	13	-16	14.0	15.2	-1.17	14.9	17.4	-2.43
George McCloud	27	27	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.08	0	10	-10	17.8	13.7	4.11	15.6	17.5	-1.88

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim McIlvaine	9	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.08	-6	-4	-2	15.2	17.1	-1.88	11.0	15.4	-4.35
Nate McMillan	39	39	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-11	12	18.6	15.6	3.05	17.1	13.3	3.77
Greg Anthony	21	19	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-5	0	12.4	18.3	-5.91	17.7	14.2	3.56
Jerome Kersey	32	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-7	4	20.5	14.9	5.62	19.6	12.4	7.16
Sam Perkins	27	29	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-6	2	25.0	13.4	11.56	12.8	15.9	-3.08
Dale Ellis	37	38	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.07	-6	-4	-2	18.0	16.1	1.89	16.6	13.7	2.89
Hersey Hawkins	59	59	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.06	-9	-1	-8	15.2	20.3	-5.11	12.9	18.6	-5.61
Vin Baker	71	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.28	-2	-8	6	15.2	23.3	-8.05	13.9	19.1	-5.22
Gary Payton	81	82	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	-6	2	17.6	10.6	7.06	14.4	19.9	-5.51
Detlef Schrempf	74	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.09	-12	2	-14	14.7	27.2	-12.57	14.7	16.0	-1.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 123, WAS 111	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0	96.5%
TOR 97, NJN 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0	96.4%
CHI 99, DET 83	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%