NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	93		Excitement	6.6 [460]		MVP	Tim Thomas (PHI): +23.4%
Charlotte Hornets	101		Comeback	2.9 [416]		LVP	Derrick Coleman (PHI): -31.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0.23	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.10	0.12	-0.01	14	68%	0.25	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.04	0.02	8	81%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	24	53%	0.12	3	-0.08	5	40%	-0.03
Benoit Benjamin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	4	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Scott Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	8	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	5	20%	-0.01	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.31	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.31,-0.31	-0.24	-0.13	-0.07	18	27%	-0.26	3	-0.05	8	50%	-0.07

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	-0.00	0.12	-0.02	6	61%	0.16	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.04
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11	0.11	-0.07	0.08	-0.10	14	60%	0.25	7	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	4	87%	0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.08	-0.02	18	62%	0.06	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.06
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	75%	0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Phills	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	9	64%	0.05	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.02
Corey Beck	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	5	57%	0.01	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	1.8	28.4	15.7	20.5	1.8	32.6	121.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +40.5%

CHH +20.8%

CHH +13.0%

PHI -20.5%

PHI -3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHH	NBA	PHI	CHH	NBA
this game	16.7	14.5	15.6	101.1	108.6	102.5
season	15.4	15.7		99.7	104.0
opponent	15.9	15.5		102.6	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	18.2	15.0	15.5	18.1	16.7
CHH	10.2	15.0	17.3	16.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Benoit Benjamin	11	10	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.13	7	-15	22	14.3	17.0	-2.74	18.7	14.0	4.75
Joe Smith	42	43	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-12	16	14.9	18.2	-3.36	13.4	15.4	-2.03
Brian Shaw	43	43	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.13	6	-14	20	15.4	17.8	-2.38	14.5	14.5	0.01
Anthony Parker	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-8	8	4.0	17.0	-12.97	24.0	14.4	9.64
Mark Davis	17	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-11	14	14.2	17.3	-3.08	15.0	14.3	0.66
Aaron McKie	46	48	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.09	-5	-3	-2	17.5	15.8	1.67	14.1	14.8	-0.65
Eric Snow	37	36	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.32	-4	-4	0	15.8	17.3	-1.46	14.3	14.6	-0.30
Scott Williams	54	53	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.07	-15	7	-22	18.3	14.4	3.86	14.7	14.2	0.46
Allen Iverson	72	75	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.20	-11	3	-14	17.7	13.1	4.52	14.5	14.1	0.44
Tim Thomas	53	54	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.13	-15	7	-22	17.9	15.1	2.84	14.6	14.3	0.31
Derrick Coleman	83	85	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.29	-10	2	-12	16.7	16.8	-0.10	14.3	16.5	-2.23

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlade Divac	31	32	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.44	5	3	2	17.0	13.2	3.81	16.8	16.6	0.15
Anthony Mason	91	89	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.27	9	-1	10	14.4	19.0	-4.64	16.8	13.7	3.12
David Wesley	86	84	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.18	12	-4	16	14.2	17.1	-2.90	16.7	16.6	0.07
Glen Rice	88	87	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.22	10	-2	12	14.4	14.8	-0.36	16.9	13.4	3.47
Bobby Phills	69	69	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.22	9	-1	10	14.0	15.7	-1.62	16.0	18.7	-2.68
Dell Curry	17	15	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.01	2	6	-4	15.5	14.2	1.31	21.5	15.8	5.71
Vernon Maxwell	9	10	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	10	-12	13.2	14.6	-1.37	15.1	16.9	-1.78
J.R. Reid	7	8	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.04	-3	11	-14	16.0	14.3	1.66	13.5	17.0	-3.49
Corey Beck	5	6	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	13	-18	22.6	14.0	8.60	15.0	16.8	-1.80
Matt Geiger	62	60	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.17	3	5	-2	13.2	17.0	-3.81	16.6	16.8	-0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.4,0.52,0.34,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.46,0.61,0.85,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 90, LAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.34,0.43,0.34,0.43,0.53,0.3,0.24,0.33,0.39,0.7,0.78,0.92,1	90.6%
SEA 112, LAL 118	0.5,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.72,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.64,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.53,0.53,0.34,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.76,0.71,1	90.5%
ATL 84, HOU 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.63,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.21,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.35,0.53,0.47,0.84,0.99,1,1	89.8%