NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	90		Excitement	8.7 [125]		MVP	Sean Rooks (LAC): +31.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	92		Comeback	3.4 [417]		LVP	Othella Harrington (VAN): -22.6%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.19	0.03	0.16	0.00	12	75%	0.35	5	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Dickerson	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	17	47%	0.04	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Ike Austin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	23	48%	0.03	3	-0.08	8	75%	0.02
Bryant Reeves	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	11	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Edwards	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23	-0.11	-0.12	-0.00	8	48%	-0.06	4	-0.17	7	71%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.31	0.31	-0.02	0.33	-0.01	7	43%	0.35	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	7	62%	0.13	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	56%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	12	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	13	50%	0.07	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Brian Skinner	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	12	48%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	7	55%	0.03	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	4	25%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	10	29%	-0.08	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.8	27.5	15.8	21.4	2.3	36.5	127.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +28.8%

LAC +5.6%

LAC +4.6%

LAC +6.4%

LAC +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	LAC	NBA	VAN	LAC	NBA
this game	14.6	15.4	15.5	93.8	95.8	100.9
season	15.6	16.1		97.4	99.5
opponent	15.5	15.1		102.6	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	16.0	14.5	12.4	15.6	14.6
LAC	14.6	15.5	17.0	14.4	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Jones	16	15	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.07	3	-5	8	15.7	14.4	1.29	15.8	15.3	0.49
Ike Austin	49	50	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.07	-2	0	-2	14.4	14.9	-0.50	16.1	14.7	1.41
Stromile Swift	24	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-1	0	15.3	14.4	0.96	13.9	15.8	-1.94
Othella Harrington	72	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.28	-1	-1	0	14.4	15.3	-0.96	15.8	13.9	1.94
Bryant Reeves	39	39	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.30	-1	-1	0	16.4	13.4	3.07	15.0	15.6	-0.65
Kevin Edwards	29	30	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.11	-8	6	-14	12.5	15.5	-3.01	13.2	16.4	-3.18
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	90	90	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.52	4	-6	10	14.5	16.7	-2.19	15.3	16.5	-1.19
Michael Dickerson	81	79	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.47	1	-3	4	14.8	13.7	1.12	16.1	12.2	3.83
Mike Bibby	80	81	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.37	-5	3	-8	14.4	15.7	-1.29	15.3	15.8	-0.49

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Skinner	58	58	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.36	10	-8	18	15.7	14.9	0.77	14.7	14.4	0.28
Keyon Dooling	33	34	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.64	0	2	-2	15.1	15.5	-0.40	15.8	14.0	1.87
Lamar Odom	74	73	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.32	10	-8	18	15.8	14.0	1.80	14.7	14.4	0.24
Eric Piatkowski	53	53	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.60	-4	6	-10	14.5	16.4	-1.87	14.5	14.7	-0.15
Corey Maggette	44	45	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.52	-2	4	-6	14.5	16.2	-1.72	15.0	14.3	0.68
Michael Olowokandi	47	46	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.07	8	-6	14	16.3	14.6	1.70	14.5	14.8	-0.30
Quentin Richardson	39	40	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.11	4	-2	6	16.7	14.5	2.16	14.3	14.8	-0.54
Darius Miles	27	26	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.12	-8	10	-18	14.0	15.9	-1.88	14.0	14.8	-0.84
Jeff McInnis	63	62	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.20	2	0	2	15.5	15.1	0.40	14.0	15.8	-1.87
Sean Rooks	42	43	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	0.02	-10	12	-22	15.0	15.7	-0.73	14.9	14.4	0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.34,0.43,0.34,0.43,0.53,0.3,0.24,0.33,0.39,0.7,0.78,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 112, LAL 118	0.5,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.72,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.64,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.53,0.53,0.34,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.76,0.71,1	91.1%
BKN 105, CHA 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.69,0.78,0.77,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.53,0.52,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.53,0.79,0.99,0.98,1	90.6%
PHI 93, CHH 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.4,0.52,0.34,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.46,0.61,0.85,0.98,0.99,1	90.6%