NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	99		Excitement	5.0 [780]		MVP	Clar. Weatherspoon (GSW): +9.6%
Golden State Warriors	83		Comeback	1.5 [998]		LVP	Jason Caffey (GSW): -19.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.02	10	55%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kelvin Cato	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	6	65%	0.04	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Isaiah Rider	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	17	58%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Grant	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Crotty	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	10	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	14	54%	0.09	4	-0.11	7	71%	0.00
Walt Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Stacey Augmon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.01	-0.05	9	69%	0.14	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.00
Gerald Madkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	11	57%	0.04	1	-0.04	6	67%	0.00
Duane Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	2	17%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	7	43%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	7	14%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.00	-0.04	17	42%	-0.04	3	-0.06	9	67%	-0.02
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.18	-0.07	-0.05	14	48%	0.01	8	-0.21	5	40%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	1.6	30.6	15.0	23.1	1.8	28.7	122.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +34.8%

POR +3.6%

GSW -10.3%

POR +20.0%

POR +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	GSW	NBA	POR	GSW	NBA
this game	15.2	18.5	15.6	115.1	97.6	102.5
season	15.9	15.6		101.9	92.9
opponent	15.0	15.4		102.8	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.8	15.4	16.2	14.5	15.2
GSW	20.5	17.4	16.5	19.8	18.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Grant	67	65	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	6	4	15.2	15.2	0.03	18.0	19.9	-1.87
Arvydas Sabonis	53	54	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.01	12	4	8	15.5	14.8	0.62	20.2	15.4	4.80
Stacey Augmon	47	46	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.03	12	4	8	14.1	16.5	-2.39	18.3	18.6	-0.31
Isaiah Rider	63	61	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.15	4	12	-8	15.2	15.3	-0.16	18.5	18.4	0.13
Jermaine O'Neal	34	34	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.09	6	10	-4	17.0	14.1	2.92	17.7	19.0	-1.27
Damon Stoudamire	56	57	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.10	5	11	-6	16.2	13.4	2.87	18.0	19.5	-1.54
Gary Grant	25	22	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.07	11	5	6	12.9	16.2	-3.26	21.0	17.6	3.41
Kelvin Cato	45	45	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.04	9	7	2	15.1	15.3	-0.21	17.6	19.4	-1.76
Walt Williams	35	35	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.14	11	5	6	14.8	15.5	-0.73	18.5	18.4	0.07
John Crotty	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	15.6	15.2	0.39	14.0	18.8	-4.81

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Todd Fuller	25	26	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.09	1	-17	18	15.8	19.6	-3.84	16.0	14.9	1.10
Adonal Foyle	12	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-11	6	14.7	19.1	-4.43	17.2	14.9	2.34
Gerald Madkins	15	14	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-16	16	16.9	18.8	-1.95	17.5	14.8	2.71
Duane Ferrell	22	23	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-13	10	17.0	19.0	-1.92	12.7	16.2	-3.46
Tony Delk	18	19	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.05	-10	-6	-4	20.4	17.9	2.50	14.4	15.5	-1.04
Muggsy Bogues	64	64	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.08	-11	-5	-6	19.4	15.8	3.60	15.1	15.6	-0.54
Clar. Weatherspoon	70	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	-4	-8	18.7	17.5	1.14	15.5	14.2	1.28
Jason Caffey	63	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.01	-13	-3	-10	19.6	15.2	4.38	15.4	14.9	0.50
Jim Jackson	73	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	-6	-4	17.5	24.2	-6.63	15.2	15.4	-0.19
Erick Dampier	63	63	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.04	-17	1	-18	19.4	15.8	3.64	15.0	16.0	-0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 97, IND 75	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.26,0.2,0.24,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.15,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
MIA 94, CLE 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.26,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.4%
IND 105, ATL 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.24,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.22,0.16,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.08,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%