NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	104		Excitement	5.2 [745]		MVP	Steve Kerr (CHI): +11.2%
Milwaukee Bucks	87		Comeback	1.1 [1147]		LVP	Jerald Honeycutt (MIL): -16.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Kerr	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.00	6	92%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.07	0.05	24	57%	0.11	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Toni Kukoc	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.02	-0.05	17	54%	0.15	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Ron Harper	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	13	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	4	70%	0.03	4	-0.10	2	50%	0.00
Luc Longley	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	11	58%	0.05	7	-0.16	2	100%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	14	64%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Litterial Green	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Nordgaard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	40%	0.00	1	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Ricky Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	0.00	0.05	18	67%	0.11	6	-0.14	4	100%	0.02
Ervin Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	11	40%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.03	-0.04	10	27%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Armen Gilliam	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	15	45%	0.00	5	-0.15	3	100%	0.01
Jerald Honeycutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.03	0.00	10	30%	-0.09	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.2	2.3	27.4	15.6	24.4	2.4	23.7	115.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +44.2%

MIL -4.1%

CHI +2.1%

CHI +2.6%

CHI +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MIL	NBA	CHI	MIL	NBA
this game	14.8	15.3	15.6	108.3	91.6	102.5
season	16.2	16.0		105.8	101.1
opponent	15.1	15.8		102.8	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.8	13.6	16.8	16.7	14.8
MIL	16.0	13.6	15.2	16.8	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toni Kukoc	80	77	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.06	20	-3	23	14.7	15.6	-0.89	16.6	10.1	6.45
Scott Burrell	51	51	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.09	15	2	13	15.7	13.9	1.80	15.1	15.6	-0.52
Michael Jordan	67	66	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.22	4	13	-9	15.3	13.7	1.57	15.4	15.2	0.24
Dennis Rodman	79	78	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.00	11	6	5	15.3	12.6	2.64	15.3	15.6	-0.38
Luc Longley	56	58	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	7	3	13.5	16.7	-3.22	16.3	13.9	2.41
Steve Kerr	38	35	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	6	5	15.3	14.5	0.86	15.7	15.1	0.60
Ron Harper	49	51	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	12	-7	13.8	15.9	-2.06	15.4	15.2	0.16
Randy Brown	35	36	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.15	12	5	7	15.4	14.5	0.91	15.3	15.4	-0.10
Jud Buechler	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	15	-13	11.0	15.1	-4.08	5.8	15.9	-10.07
Dickey Simpkins	19	18	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	22	-27	15.2	14.7	0.48	9.6	16.7	-7.06

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Litterial Green	7	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-18	19	10.6	15.7	-5.14	13.7	14.9	-1.23
Jeff Nordgaard	8	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-19	21	11.4	15.7	-4.33	20.2	14.3	5.92
Jamie Feick	16	17	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-14	11	13.5	15.7	-2.21	14.0	15.0	-1.00
Jerald Honeycutt	45	46	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.11	-8	-9	1	14.0	16.5	-2.54	15.6	14.1	1.43
Ricky Pierce	26	26	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.14	-11	-6	-5	16.2	15.0	1.12	14.1	15.1	-1.02
Ray Allen	81	82	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-13	9	15.2	15.9	-0.61	15.0	13.7	1.30
Armen Gilliam	75	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.18	-7	-10	3	15.3	15.4	-0.14	14.6	15.8	-1.18
Michael Curry	83	84	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.01	-15	-2	-13	15.5	14.4	1.05	14.7	15.5	-0.77
Ervin Johnson	71	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.06	-18	1	-19	16.4	12.1	4.35	14.9	14.5	0.39
Elliot Perry	63	63	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.16	-22	5	-27	16.2	13.7	2.53	14.3	15.9	-1.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 126, NYK 117	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.27,0.23,0.12,0.19,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
MIL 103, PHI 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
BKN 111, ORL 104	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.23,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.09,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%