NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	126		Excitement	5.2 [791]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +35.7%
New York Knicks	117		Comeback	1.0 [1099]		LVP	Quentin Richardson (NYK): -8.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.36	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.42	0.05	0.11	31	74%	0.40	2	-0.05	20	100%	0.05
Pau Gasol	0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.21	0.03	0.02	17	74%	0.27	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.02
Derek Fisher	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	72%	0.05	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Josh Powell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sun Yue	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.13	-0.01	-0.08	9	27%	-0.02	3	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.05	-0.05	16	57%	0.19	2	-0.03	10	80%	0.02
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	-0.01	0.02	11	71%	0.11	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	6	62%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
David Lee	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.01	0.04	16	56%	0.05	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.02
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	9	56%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.03	7	59%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	9	42%	-0.01	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	14	39%	-0.03	3	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Quentin Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	35.2	17.6	28.3	2.5	33.7	142.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +50.7%

NYK -4.5%

LAL +10.3%

NYK -5.6%

NYK -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NYK	NBA	LAL	NYK	NBA
this game	13.8	13.8	15.5	121.2	111.4	106.4
season	14.9	13.8		110.6	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.4		109.1	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.1	13.6	14.7	14.8	13.8
NYK	14.5	13.0	14.1	13.4	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	80	82	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.04	19	-10	29	13.4	15.2	-1.87	13.8	13.7	0.02
Lamar Odom	84	84	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.24	9	0	9	13.0	17.0	-3.95	13.8	13.5	0.35
Pau Gasol	90	90	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.10	20	-11	31	13.6	14.9	-1.30	13.9	13.1	0.80
Trevor Ariza	55	56	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.25	2	7	-5	14.5	13.0	1.53	13.3	14.3	-0.96
Jordan Farmar	48	49	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.41	-6	15	-21	13.9	13.8	0.09	13.0	14.4	-1.45
Derek Fisher	54	54	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.16	13	-4	17	13.5	14.1	-0.60	14.5	13.0	1.50
Luke Walton	49	49	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.01	7	2	5	13.0	14.5	-1.53	14.3	13.3	0.96
Josh Powell	23	24	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.32	-9	18	-27	15.7	13.3	2.42	13.5	13.8	-0.27
Sasha Vujacic	21	21	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	9	-9	16.1	13.2	2.93	14.4	13.6	0.79
Sun Yue	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	17	-25	13.6	13.8	-0.22	10.0	13.9	-3.90
Vladimir Radmanovic	11	12	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	11	-13	17.1	13.4	3.67	12.8	13.9	-1.04

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	29	27	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	-2	-5	14.5	13.5	1.01	13.3	14.0	-0.64
Danilo Gallinari	42	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.47	10	-19	29	13.6	13.9	-0.30	15.2	12.9	2.25
Tim Thomas	49	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-13	17	13.4	14.0	-0.57	14.9	12.9	2.06
Jared Jeffries	37	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.03	-8	-1	-7	15.5	12.8	2.64	13.6	13.9	-0.37
Nate Robinson	58	59	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	-3	-3	13.6	14.0	-0.37	13.8	13.8	0.09
Wilson Chandler	68	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-9	9	13.2	14.8	-1.63	13.7	14.0	-0.33
David Lee	83	82	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.15	-8	-1	-7	13.6	14.3	-0.72	13.0	16.9	-3.88
Al Harrington	78	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.11	-18	9	-27	13.6	14.3	-0.78	13.7	14.1	-0.46
Chris Duhon	81	81	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.13	-12	3	-15	13.9	13.1	0.81	13.7	14.0	-0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.27,0.23,0.12,0.19,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 99, NOH 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.27,0.35,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.11,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0,0	95.2%
CLE 105, DET 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.21,0.18,0.25,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
CHI 104, MIL 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%