NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	105		Excitement	4.9 [683]		MVP	Brandon Knight (DET): +17.1%
Detroit Pistons	89		Comeback	1.3 [317]		LVP	Austin Daye (DET): -15.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ramon Sessions	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.05	-0.04	11	57%	0.14	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Antawn Jamison	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	9	71%	0.14	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Daniel Gibson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	4	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Samardo Samuels	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.01	0.05	8	77%	0.10	3	-0.08	6	83%	-0.01
Anderson Varejao	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	9	53%	0.06	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Omri Casspi	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	5	70%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	9	64%	0.09	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Tristan Thompson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	62%	0.05	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.03	0.03	13	85%	0.20	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.00	0.06	19	60%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	10	36%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Damien Wilkins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Macklin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	12	42%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	8	56%	0.04	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Greg Monroe	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	10	50%	0.01	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.7	30.1	18.0	29.0	2.5	34.3	142.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +31.2%

CLE +13.8%

CLE +9.4%

DET -5.5%

CLE +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DET	NBA	CLE	DET	NBA
this game	15.4	16.9	15.6	118.0	100.0	102.8
season	15.5	16.3		99.5	99.5
opponent	15.4	15.6		104.4	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.8	15.3	14.5	18.4	15.4
DET	18.9	15.3	15.5	18.5	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan Thompson	43	45	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.08	18	-2	20	16.0	14.8	1.20	17.2	16.7	0.54
Daniel Gibson	53	53	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	5	6	15.8	14.8	1.00	16.7	17.3	-0.58
Alonzo Gee	52	51	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.02	12	4	8	16.4	14.0	2.40	16.8	17.1	-0.35
Ramon Sessions	52	51	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.02	12	4	8	16.4	14.0	2.40	16.8	17.1	-0.35
Samardo Samuels	45	45	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	7	2	16.1	14.7	1.43	16.6	17.2	-0.63
Anderson Varejao	44	44	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.00	7	9	-2	14.7	16.1	-1.43	17.2	16.6	0.63
Omri Casspi	37	38	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.05	4	12	-8	14.0	16.4	-2.40	17.1	16.8	0.35
Kyrie Irving	37	38	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.05	4	12	-8	14.0	16.4	-2.40	17.1	16.8	0.35
Antawn Jamison	44	43	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.07	1	15	-14	15.4	15.4	-0.04	16.9	16.9	-0.00
Anthony Parker	38	37	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	14	-12	14.2	16.4	-2.17	16.9	16.9	0.02

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vernon Macklin	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	15.5	17.0	-1.47	18.0	15.3	2.66
Damien Wilkins	7	9	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.09	3	-19	22	14.9	17.1	-2.25	19.2	15.0	4.22
Greg Monroe	67	67	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.06	-5	-11	6	17.1	16.4	0.70	15.1	16.5	-1.49
Jason Maxiell	31	29	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	-10	4	15.1	17.9	-2.82	14.5	15.9	-1.40
Austin Daye	28	28	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-11	6	15.3	17.7	-2.40	14.9	15.7	-0.78
Rodney Stuckey	59	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-7	-2	18.4	14.1	4.27	15.4	15.5	-0.11
Tayshaun Prince	51	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.15	-15	-1	-14	17.4	16.3	1.03	14.5	16.5	-1.99
Ben Wallace	20	19	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	-3	-10	16.5	17.1	-0.56	16.3	15.2	1.13
Brandon Knight	54	54	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.14	-6	-10	4	15.4	19.4	-4.02	16.1	14.5	1.60
Jonas Jerebko	54	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.04	-13	-3	-10	18.5	14.5	4.08	15.8	14.8	1.02
Ben Gordon	72	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	-3	-10	17.1	16.4	0.64	15.4	15.5	-0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.21,0.18,0.25,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 126, NYK 117	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.27,0.23,0.12,0.19,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
PHX 111, POR 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
TOR 93, BOS 72	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.33,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%