NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	111		Excitement	5.2 [793]		MVP	Joe Harris (BKN): +17.5%
Orlando Magic	104		Comeback	1.0 [971]		LVP	Rodney Purvis (ORL): -10.3%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Harris	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.16	0.02	0.01	4	117%	0.17	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Caris LeVert	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	14	53%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
D'Angelo Russell	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.00	9	73%	0.08	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
DeMarre Carroll	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.01	10	70%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.02	9	65%	0.07	1	-0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Allen Crabbe	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.01	-0.04	14	46%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	15	38%	0.00	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Dante Cunningham	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.02	10	58%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Mario Hezonja	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.12	0.01	0.08	17	59%	0.07	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	13	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.02	0.02	21	56%	0.08	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	12	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamel Artis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khem Birch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	50%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Purvis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	6	14%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.7	26.3	14.5	27.2	2.4	26.6	122.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +42.6%

BKN +1.9%

BKN +0.2%

BKN +6.1%

ORL -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	ORL	NBA	BKN	ORL	NBA
this game	14.7	15.8	14.7	118.1	109.5	107.5
season	14.7	14.6		105.8	104.2
opponent	14.5	14.1		109.1	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	14.2	16.1	15.9	13.1	14.7
ORL	14.6	17.3	16.1	15.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarre Carroll	58	58	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.03	17	-10	27	14.0	15.9	-1.95	16.3	14.9	1.46
D'Angelo Russell	61	60	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	-4	15	13.9	16.2	-2.31	16.2	14.9	1.34
Jarrett Allen	54	54	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.25	5	2	3	15.0	14.3	0.68	16.3	15.1	1.20
Allen Crabbe	60	59	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.22	3	4	-1	14.2	15.5	-1.28	15.8	15.7	0.15
Caris LeVert	46	47	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.25	0	7	-7	16.2	13.3	2.90	15.3	16.2	-0.99
Dante Cunningham	39	40	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	2	3	14.0	15.2	-1.26	14.4	16.8	-2.39
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	65	65	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.23	-3	10	-13	14.7	14.7	0.08	16.4	14.4	1.94
Joe Harris	51	54	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.19	-2	9	-11	14.8	14.6	0.20	15.5	16.1	-0.55
Spencer Dinwiddie	36	38	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.13	-1	8	-9	16.4	13.7	2.67	14.7	16.5	-1.83

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khem Birch	18	17	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.35	16	-23	39	13.7	16.2	-2.51	18.8	13.8	4.95
Jamel Artis	47	45	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.37	14	-21	35	15.3	16.2	-0.87	17.5	12.1	5.41
Nikola Vucevic	62	61	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-4	1	16.0	15.2	0.84	14.4	15.3	-0.91
D.J. Augustin	63	63	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-2	-3	16.0	15.2	0.81	14.3	15.6	-1.29
Arron Afflalo	19	18	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	-1	-5	15.2	15.9	-0.68	17.6	14.0	3.52
Shelvin Mack	59	57	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.42	7	-14	21	14.6	17.6	-3.03	15.4	13.7	1.67
Bismack Biyombo	24	24	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	6	-19	16.2	15.6	0.60	14.2	14.9	-0.73
Aaron Gordon	65	65	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.05	-17	10	-27	15.9	15.4	0.47	13.1	18.2	-5.10
Mario Hezonja	71	72	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.20	-12	5	-17	16.4	14.0	2.41	13.6	18.2	-4.59
Rodney Purvis	47	48	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.18	-16	9	-25	16.5	15.0	1.53	13.8	15.7	-1.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.23,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.09,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 103, PHI 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
NJN 98, WAS 85	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.32,0.39,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.39,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.29,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.3%
CHI 104, MIL 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%