NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	91		Excitement	6.2 [539]		MVP	Clar. Weatherspoon (GSW): +5.3%
Golden State Warriors	98		Comeback	1.4 [102]		LVP	Vin Baker (SEA): -35.1%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome Kersey	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	12	55%	0.02	3	-0.02	9	78%	-0.00
Detlef Schrempf	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	16	57%	0.03	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	5	60%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Dale Ellis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	11	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Jim McIlvaine	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Greg Anthony	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	3	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Perkins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	9	39%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.35	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.29,-0.26,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.31,-0.31,-0.34,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35	-0.23	-0.12	0.00	18	37%	-0.11	7	-0.24	5	60%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	7	78%	0.10	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.06	-0.02	11	54%	0.11	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	7	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.03	-0.03	8	56%	0.05	2	-0.03	9	44%	-0.05
Donyell Marshall	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	0.00	-0.08	0.04	-0.04	19	37%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	75%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Madkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	7	31%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	22	41%	-0.09	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.4	28.5	16.3	20.4	1.5	39.2	131.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +41.5%

SEA -10.7%

GSW +17.6%

GSW +3.2%

SEA -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	GSW	NBA	SEA	GSW	NBA
this game	14.3	16.5	15.6	97.8	104.3	102.5
season	15.3	15.6		109.3	92.9
opponent	15.0	16.2		102.8	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	12.6	13.9	17.4	13.7	14.3
GSW	17.4	16.1	17.7	15.1	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Anthony	16	17	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.04	4	-11	15	13.2	14.5	-1.29	15.1	16.8	-1.73
Sam Perkins	36	37	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-10	13	14.7	13.9	0.80	15.5	17.2	-1.68
Jerome Kersey	34	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	-3	-1	13.0	15.0	-1.98	15.1	17.4	-2.30
Dale Ellis	54	55	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.40	7	-14	21	14.4	14.1	0.27	16.0	17.3	-1.33
Jim McIlvaine	25	25	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.13	-16	9	-25	14.7	14.1	0.58	17.8	16.1	1.78
Hersey Hawkins	63	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-3	-1	14.0	14.9	-0.90	17.4	14.7	2.64
Detlef Schrempf	80	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.20	-9	2	-11	14.3	13.8	0.57	16.3	17.8	-1.51
Gary Payton	82	83	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.29	-7	0	-7	14.3	13.6	0.71	17.0	12.7	4.31
Vin Baker	75	75	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.25	-9	2	-11	14.7	12.6	2.11	17.0	14.8	2.18

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clar. Weatherspoon	70	73	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.13	17	-10	27	16.5	16.7	-0.18	14.4	13.9	0.46
Jim Jackson	79	78	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.26	8	-1	9	16.8	15.1	1.74	14.3	14.1	0.15
Muggsy Bogues	64	64	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.18	6	1	5	17.2	15.0	2.20	14.2	14.4	-0.23
Donyell Marshall	71	70	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.05	10	-3	13	17.1	14.7	2.49	14.5	13.7	0.80
Erick Dampier	56	57	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.06	13	-6	19	16.9	15.9	0.98	14.9	13.2	1.64
Todd Fuller	15	15	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	3	1	12.9	17.2	-4.28	14.0	14.3	-0.31
Jason Caffey	52	49	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.41	-8	15	-23	15.8	17.5	-1.71	14.0	14.6	-0.59
Tony Delk	38	36	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.26	-6	13	-19	15.4	17.3	-1.91	13.8	14.5	-0.69
Gerald Madkins	15	14	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	9	-11	15.5	16.7	-1.27	13.8	14.3	-0.56
Felton Spencer	10	9	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.12	-7	14	-21	18.9	16.2	2.65	12.6	14.4	-1.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.95,0.97,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.91,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 95, NYK 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.91,0.94,0.99,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1	95.0%
CLE 89, ORL 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.62,0.61,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.9,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.92,0.93,0.97,1,1	94.0%
GSW 108, MIN 115	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,1,1,1	93.9%