inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 86 Excitement8.7 [131] MVPVinny Del Negro (SAS): +36.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers 85 Comeback7.4 [112] LVPShawn Kemp (CLE): -31.4%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vinny Del Negro0.360,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,0.360.020.340.011256%0.381-0.0210%-0.02
David Robinson0.210,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.210.090.12-0.001075%0.271-0.051681%0.06
Will Perdue-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.01-0.00370%0.021-0.03475%-0.01
Avery Johnson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.090.04-0.031033%-0.001-0.02450%-0.02
Reggie Geary-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Malik Rose-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Monty Williams-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01337%0.021-0.05250%-0.01
Chuck Person-0.040,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04-0.050.01-0.00850%0.023-0.0620%-0.03
Jaren Jackson-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.08-0.04-0.0030%-0.101-0.0210%-0.04
Tim Duncan-0.160,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.06,-0.16-0.12-0.04-0.011649%0.026-0.17580%0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danny Ferry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.24,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.280.280.110.170.00881%0.2800.0000%0.00
Brevin Knight0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.150.150.000.14-0.02657%0.161-0.012100%0.13
Wesley Person0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.080.08-0.010.09-0.00550%0.111-0.0300%0.00
Vitaly Potapenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.02-0.00861%0.071-0.03250%-0.02
Bob Sura0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.020.00370%0.051-0.02475%0.00
Shawnelle Scott00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cedric Henderson0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.01-0.00731%-0.052-0.04250%-0.02
Derek Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.22-0.22-0.06-0.17-0.01750%0.043-0.262100%0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.24-0.24-0.05-0.19-0.002146%-0.192-0.06475%-0.01
Shawn Kemp0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.31-0.31-0.13-0.19-0.011424%-0.301-0.021100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.81.828.015.030.21.743.3142.9
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +57.7%
CLE -15.3%
CLE -5.3%
SAS +6.1%
SAS +6.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASCLENBASASCLENBA
this game16.515.515.695.694.4102.5
season15.915.4100.999.4
opponent16.015.997.097.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS15.716.316.417.616.5
CLE14.317.214.216.715.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vinny Del Negro65640.71-0.210.920.459-81715.818.1-2.3015.416.0-0.59
David Robinson62630.62-0.120.730.475-4916.217.1-0.9515.615.40.25
Chuck Person70670.53-0.030.570.5010116.117.6-1.4714.718.1-3.47
Avery Johnson83840.480.020.460.4510116.417.0-0.5915.812.33.44
Monty Williams21240.230.27-0.030.2301-116.916.30.5217.414.92.50
Tim Duncan69710.180.32-0.140.24-23-517.014.62.4615.714.80.89
Malik Rose14140.150.35-0.20-0.036-51116.716.40.3116.115.40.71
Reggie Geary75-0.020.52-0.55-0.0201-117.016.40.5914.815.6-0.79
Will Perdue3432-0.170.67-0.840.04-78-1516.116.6-0.5014.716.0-1.28
Jaren Jackson2526-0.210.71-0.920.02-89-1718.115.82.3016.015.40.59

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vitaly Potapenko24240.26-0.761.01-0.0711-122314.416.0-1.5919.615.34.27
Bob Sura47490.23-0.730.96-0.2416-173316.314.71.6717.914.73.17
Shawnelle Scott55-0.05-0.450.400.01-21-320.615.25.3514.616.6-1.96
Zydrunas Ilgauskas8382-0.15-0.350.21-0.295-61115.417.3-1.8916.812.74.07
Wesley Person6161-0.16-0.340.180.22-1312-2516.513.52.9915.917.6-1.62
Danny Ferry2927-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.20-32-517.014.82.2017.815.91.94
Derek Anderson4745-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.492-3516.015.10.9116.816.10.73
Brevin Knight6059-0.49-0.01-0.49-0.20-109-1914.916.8-1.9315.718.0-2.31
Cedric Henderson5457-0.570.07-0.65-0.632-3514.417.3-2.8916.117.2-1.10
Shawn Kemp4041-0.850.35-1.20-0.47-1312-2514.416.4-1.9713.618.9-5.27


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.64,0.76,0.82,0.61,0.55,0.84,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 87, IND 850.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.33,0.4,0.46,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.69,0.55,0.68,0.31,091.5%
IND 92, LAC 870.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.31,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.72,0.85,0.42,091.1%
SAS 89, SEA 870.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.81,0.63,0.68,0.58,090.9%