NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	94		Excitement	4.9 [813]		MVP	Derrick Coleman (PHI): +9.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	79		Comeback	1.2 [807]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -17.2%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lindsey Hunter	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	0.01	7	59%	0.06	1	-0.02	8	37%	-0.05
Bison Dele	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	12	54%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02
Jerome Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	2	62%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Steve Henson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	52%	-0.01	1	0.00	9	100%	0.04
Rick Mahorn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	53%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Joe Dumars	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	16	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.04
Grant Hill	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	11	52%	-0.02	3	-0.07	11	64%	-0.04

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	15	64%	0.09	0	0.00	9	100%	0.06
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.03	4	100%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	8	56%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Benoit Benjamin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	10	45%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	10	42%	-0.05	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.09	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.04	14	14%	-0.17	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.4	28.3	15.5	27.5	2.4	32.3	133.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +42.6%

DET +4.4%

DET +3.7%

PHI -3.4%

DET +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHI	NBA	DET	PHI	NBA
this game	17.8	15.9	15.6	109.3	92.9	102.5
season	15.9	15.4		102.8	99.7
opponent	15.5	15.9		102.1	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.9	17.5	18.9	19.0	17.8
PHI	18.5	16.8	13.9	14.6	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bison Dele	60	58	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.04	21	-6	27	17.8	17.8	-0.01	16.2	15.2	1.00
Jerry Stackhouse	56	57	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.04	14	1	13	17.3	18.7	-1.33	15.6	16.5	-0.89
Grant Hill	78	77	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.00	15	0	15	17.9	16.7	1.16	16.2	12.9	3.31
Lindsey Hunter	64	64	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.01	14	1	13	18.3	16.4	1.87	15.7	16.5	-0.87
Jerome Williams	22	21	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	10	-5	17.4	18.0	-0.59	15.7	15.9	-0.27
Joe Dumars	64	60	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.03	9	6	3	17.8	17.7	0.10	15.8	15.9	-0.07
Don Reid	52	53	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.12	0	15	-15	17.2	18.7	-1.54	15.6	16.4	-0.81
Scot Pollard	8	8	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.02	3	12	-9	21.1	17.5	3.66	19.4	15.5	3.87
Steve Henson	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	14.0	17.8	-3.85	6.0	16.1	-10.11
Rick Mahorn	25	25	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.10	-6	21	-27	18.0	17.7	0.22	15.9	15.8	0.07

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Benoit Benjamin	10	9	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-15	15	18.8	15.5	3.32	20.4	17.5	2.95
Scott Williams	23	25	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-10	5	14.4	16.4	-2.03	16.3	18.4	-2.15
Eric Snow	19	17	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.08	-1	-14	13	16.3	15.7	0.57	16.7	18.1	-1.37
Derrick Coleman	58	58	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.25	4	-19	23	16.4	14.7	1.66	17.6	18.2	-0.56
Joe Smith	45	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-11	7	14.6	17.3	-2.79	17.7	17.9	-0.27
Brian Shaw	47	46	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.07	-2	-13	11	15.8	16.0	-0.23	17.4	18.2	-0.79
Tim Thomas	31	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.01	-7	-8	1	16.6	15.5	1.12	18.8	17.1	1.68
Mark Davis	7	6	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	-8	1	17.0	15.8	1.23	18.7	17.7	0.93
Aaron McKie	41	44	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.22	-22	7	-29	15.5	16.2	-0.79	17.9	17.7	0.13
Allen Iverson	78	79	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.06	-14	-1	-13	15.8	16.4	-0.61	17.8	17.4	0.41
Theo Ratliff	66	69	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.06	-17	2	-19	16.2	14.8	1.39	18.1	16.6	1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.24,0.16,0.13,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.31,0.21,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.04,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 118, ORL 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.2,0.03,0,0,0	95.2%
SAC 98, TOR 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.2,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.17,0.11,0.01,0,0,0	94.5%
LAC 90, MEM 77	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.38,0.25,0.31,0.19,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	94.1%