NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	118		Excitement	5.3 [790]		MVP	Eric Bledsoe (MIL): +35.8%
Orlando Magic	108		Comeback	1.1 [1221]		LVP	Evan Fournier (ORL): -5.5%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Bledsoe	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.28	0.09	0.02	14	91%	0.36	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.03	0.01	11	75%	0.16	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Khris Middleton	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.00	0.07	-0.02	15	47%	0.09	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	17	62%	0.14	5	-0.08	6	67%	-0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Wilson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sterling Brown	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	2	75%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarell Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.04	-0.00	7	86%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	0.01	24	53%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	0.00	8	78%	0.10	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Isaiah Briscoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mo Bamba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	3	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	15	53%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.03	6	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wes Iwundu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	14	38%	-0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	22.6	14.5	23.4	2.5	25.5	115.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +42.6%

MIL +2.8%

MIL +9.9%

ORL -6.4%

MIL +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	ORL	NBA	MIL	ORL	NBA
this game	13.1	15.6	14.3	116.8	108.0	109.3
season	13.5	14.9		112.4	107.2
opponent	14.3	14.3		107.2	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	10.2	12.6	14.7	15.5	13.1
ORL	15.5	16.8	14.7	15.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Giannis Antetokounmpo	70	70	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.08	20	-10	30	12.7	14.0	-1.27	15.5	15.7	-0.26
Eric Bledsoe	67	66	0.64	-0.14	0.78	-0.06	24	-14	38	12.6	14.1	-1.46	15.9	14.9	1.06
Malcolm Brogdon	64	60	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	0	10	13.0	13.2	-0.20	14.8	16.7	-1.87
Tony Snell	31	29	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.13	6	4	2	13.0	13.2	-0.12	14.2	16.1	-1.89
Ersan Ilyasova	34	32	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.02	8	2	6	12.7	13.3	-0.62	14.5	16.0	-1.50
Brook Lopez	56	56	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.07	3	7	-4	12.6	13.8	-1.15	16.3	14.6	1.75
Khris Middleton	57	59	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.09	2	8	-6	12.7	13.6	-0.88	16.3	14.5	1.80
George Hill	46	46	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.25	-8	18	-26	14.6	11.9	2.74	15.7	15.5	0.19
Sterling Brown	38	40	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.13	-4	14	-18	12.9	13.2	-0.27	15.8	15.3	0.50
D.J. Wilson	42	42	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.24	-11	21	-32	14.8	11.9	2.85	15.4	15.6	-0.21

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wes Iwundu	32	33	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-11	12	15.4	15.6	-0.21	13.4	13.0	0.36
D.J. Augustin	60	58	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-11	12	16.2	14.6	1.54	13.2	13.0	0.13
Nikola Vucevic	62	60	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-9	8	16.2	14.4	1.78	13.0	13.2	-0.17
Jonathan Isaac	62	60	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-8	6	16.3	14.3	1.99	13.0	13.3	-0.29
Jonathon Simmons	41	40	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.04	-5	-5	0	16.5	14.9	1.55	12.2	13.7	-1.44
Jarell Martin	38	41	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.13	-8	-2	-6	14.3	16.3	-1.99	13.3	13.0	0.29
Mo Bamba	38	41	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	-1	-8	14.4	16.2	-1.78	13.2	13.0	0.17
Terrence Ross	59	61	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.20	-6	-4	-2	15.0	16.3	-1.34	13.8	12.0	1.77
Isaiah Briscoe	40	43	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.09	-11	1	-12	14.6	16.2	-1.54	13.0	13.2	-0.13
Evan Fournier	68	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.14	-10	0	-10	15.5	15.6	-0.02	12.9	13.6	-0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.2,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 94, PHI 79	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.24,0.16,0.13,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.31,0.21,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.04,0,0,0	95.2%
SAC 98, TOR 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.2,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.17,0.11,0.01,0,0,0	94.4%
ATL 117, GSW 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.17,0.19,0.25,0.3,0.19,0.12,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0	94.2%