NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	92		Excitement	7.1 [371]		MVP	Chris Mullin (IND): +21.7%
Indiana Pacers	99		Comeback	1.9 [704]		LVP	Sam Cassell (NJN): -24.7%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.16	0.05	0.10	0.00	14	55%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jayson Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	11	48%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Chris Gatling	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	9	55%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Cage	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Evans	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.04	-0.01	10	32%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lucious Harris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.02	0.05	13	66%	0.05	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Sherman Douglas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	3	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rony Seikaly	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.03	-0.10	0.02	10	42%	-0.15	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Sam Cassell	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25	-0.14	-0.11	-0.00	14	31%	-0.18	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.10	0.11	-0.01	13	69%	0.23	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.07	0.04	11	66%	0.10	0	0.00	10	80%	-0.02
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.00	0.08	-0.02	3	67%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Pope	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	64%	0.06	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.02
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	6	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Rik Smits	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	13	50%	-0.03	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0	100%	0.02	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	3	40%	-0.02	2	-0.11	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	1.8	30.0	14.8	22.2	2.3	34.6	127.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +63.8%

IND +17.9%

NJN -21.0%

NJN -12.0%

IND +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	IND	NBA	NJN	IND	NBA
this game	16.6	15.7	15.6	103.4	111.2	102.5
season	15.6	16.0		104.9	105.3
opponent	16.1	15.2		99.2	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.0	17.1	16.5	19.6	16.6
IND	15.4	18.9	13.5	15.6	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lucious Harris	12	11	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.07	9	-16	25	15.0	16.9	-1.88	21.4	14.9	6.43
Sherman Douglas	42	44	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.11	7	-14	21	16.8	16.5	0.25	16.7	14.8	1.97
Michael Cage	2	2	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.02	2	-9	11	14.5	16.7	-2.18	11.5	15.8	-4.33
Brian Evans	7	8	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-9	11	15.7	16.7	-0.99	10.0	16.3	-6.30
Chris Gatling	51	51	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-3	-1	17.2	15.9	1.33	16.3	15.0	1.32
Rony Seikaly	32	33	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.29	2	-9	11	19.8	14.9	4.92	19.0	13.8	5.20
Keith Van Horn	50	51	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-7	7	15.9	17.5	-1.62	14.9	16.8	-1.94
Kendall Gill	60	59	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.06	-12	5	-17	16.5	16.8	-0.24	15.7	15.7	0.05
Jayson Williams	65	63	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.17	-11	4	-15	15.4	19.9	-4.50	15.1	17.3	-2.23
Kerry Kittles	65	65	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.20	-15	8	-23	15.9	18.5	-2.62	14.1	20.1	-6.02
Sam Cassell	59	58	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.21	-15	8	-23	17.6	14.6	3.01	15.7	15.7	-0.02

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	71	71	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.19	17	-10	27	15.2	17.9	-2.78	15.9	19.3	-3.39
Antonio Davis	55	53	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.38	5	2	3	16.0	15.3	0.71	17.5	15.4	2.13
Derrick McKey	37	37	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	2	3	15.1	16.2	-1.02	17.8	15.8	2.07
Mark Jackson	68	70	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.25	6	1	5	15.6	16.2	-0.60	16.2	18.2	-1.94
Rik Smits	50	52	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.08	6	1	5	16.3	15.0	1.35	15.7	17.9	-2.21
Jalen Rose	19	21	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.19	-1	8	-9	19.2	14.8	4.36	21.4	15.1	6.28
Travis Best	21	19	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	6	-5	16.2	15.6	0.60	18.2	16.2	1.94
Chris Mullin	60	59	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.07	5	2	3	15.1	16.9	-1.78	15.4	19.1	-3.68
Mark Pope	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	7	-7	1.0	16.1	-15.07	7.0	16.7	-9.74
Dale Davis	47	48	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	10	-13	15.4	16.1	-0.78	15.8	17.6	-1.82
Fred Hoiberg	15	14	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.06	-6	13	-19	18.0	15.3	2.73	18.6	16.3	2.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.81,0.79,0.96,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 103, CHI 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.41,0.38,0.53,0.68,0.67,0.53,0.81,0.85,0.94,0.99,1	93.3%
MIN 83, NOK 90	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.7,0.7,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.75,0.84,0.99,0.98,1	92.9%
CLE 98, TOR 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.9,0.97,0.98,1	92.9%