NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	103		Excitement	7.4 [325]		MVP	Jalen Rose (CHI): +27.1%
Chicago Bulls	110		Comeback	1.9 [458]		LVP	Jamaal Tinsley (IND): -24.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	-0.04	0.09	-0.04	16	51%	0.14	2	-0.05	11	100%	0.12
Brad Miller	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.13	0.04	0.10	14	74%	0.08	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.01
Erick Strickland	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	9	68%	0.11	2	-0.06	1	100%	-0.00
Austin Croshere	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.04	0.00	9	44%	0.08	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	11	49%	-0.06	2	-0.06	15	67%	-0.07
Ron Mercer	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.16	-0.03	-0.03	22	30%	-0.15	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.06
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.15	-0.10	-0.01	7	0%	-0.20	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.06	0.22	0.00	17	61%	0.28	1	-0.01	12	92%	0.02
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.11	0.00	6	86%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jay Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.09	0.01	8	87%	0.20	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.04	-0.01	14	60%	0.12	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonny Baxter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	11	41%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	20	40%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	0.7	26.5	15.6	24.2	2.5	37.5	136.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +66.8%

IND -13.1%

IND -24.6%

CHI +13.1%

CHI +7.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHI	NBA	IND	CHI	NBA
this game	14.1	15.3	15.5	104.0	113.4	101.6
season	15.4	15.0		102.2	98.3
opponent	15.1	15.5		103.3	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.6	14.9	15.0	14.4	14.1
CHI	14.2	14.5	17.8	15.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Strickland	44	44	0.37	-0.87	1.25	-0.04	14	-21	35	13.9	14.3	-0.46	15.3	15.2	0.07
Austin Croshere	47	47	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.06	4	-11	15	15.2	13.1	2.12	14.9	15.7	-0.79
Jeff Foster	10	9	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.09	-7	0	-7	11.2	14.4	-3.25	14.8	15.3	-0.55
Ron Mercer	89	88	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.30	-4	-3	-1	14.5	10.4	4.14	15.9	9.1	6.80
Al Harrington	76	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.33	-5	-2	-3	14.1	14.3	-0.30	15.5	14.5	1.05
Reggie Miller	79	77	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.14	-13	6	-19	14.0	14.4	-0.41	15.4	14.8	0.54
Brad Miller	90	88	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.32	-7	0	-7	14.7	8.1	6.61	15.1	16.6	-1.41
Jamaal Tinsley	60	58	-0.87	0.37	-1.25	-0.37	-17	10	-27	12.6	16.5	-3.86	14.4	16.5	-2.11

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jay Williams	63	67	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.36	14	-7	21	14.0	17.6	-3.65	14.8	12.8	1.98
Donyell Marshall	69	73	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.16	18	-11	29	15.7	14.2	1.50	14.8	12.2	2.67
Jalen Rose	89	90	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.31	7	0	7	15.4	13.4	2.07	13.9	16.8	-2.92
Eddie Robinson	44	44	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.27	7	0	7	14.8	15.7	-0.88	14.9	13.5	1.42
Marcus Fizer	78	78	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.40	-3	10	-13	15.9	12.8	3.03	13.4	16.8	-3.41
Tyson Chandler	22	25	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.06	12	-5	17	14.4	15.5	-1.12	16.6	13.3	3.26
Trenton Hassell	44	45	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.00	5	2	3	15.5	15.1	0.41	13.8	14.4	-0.67
Lonny Baxter	2	2	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.03	-1	8	-9	13.5	15.3	-1.82	7.5	14.3	-6.76
Fred Hoiberg	21	21	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.07	-7	14	-21	12.4	16.1	-3.70	13.6	14.3	-0.64
Eddy Curry	19	18	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.06	-10	17	-27	15.5	15.2	0.24	12.7	14.4	-1.78
Jamal Crawford	34	32	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.06	-7	14	-21	17.6	14.0	3.65	12.8	14.8	-1.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.41,0.38,0.53,0.68,0.67,0.53,0.81,0.85,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 98, PHI 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.81,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.6%
NJN 92, IND 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.81,0.79,0.96,0.99,1	93.3%
MIN 83, NOK 90	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.7,0.7,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.75,0.84,0.99,0.98,1	92.2%