NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	87		Excitement	7.7 [261]		MVP	Nick Anderson (ORL): +15.3%
New Jersey Nets	93		Comeback	1.3 [728]		LVP	Bo Outlaw (ORL): -41.9%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Anderson	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.28,0.16,0.15	0.10	0.06	0.01	33	55%	0.17	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Horace Grant	0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.01	9	68%	0.11	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
David Benoit	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Price	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.05	-0.00	6	58%	0.14	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wilkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Schayes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Derek Harper	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Derek Strong	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	10	50%	-0.04	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	-0.42	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42	-0.17	-0.25	-0.00	5	20%	-0.09	6	-0.33	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.06	0.00	12	58%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	16	47%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rony Seikaly	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.07	-0.00	5	45%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Michael Cage	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	10	50%	0.12	1	-0.13	6	50%	-0.07
Keith Van Horn	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.01	-0.03	16	50%	0.06	4	-0.09	6	83%	0.04
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	12	55%	0.03	2	-0.09	7	100%	0.02
Jayson Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.09	-0.09	0.01	7	43%	-0.03	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	23.3	14.8	23.6	2.4	34.5	126.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +18.2%

NJN +15.9%

NJN +22.9%

ORL -6.3%

ORL -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NJN	NBA	ORL	NJN	NBA
this game	16.3	15.8	15.6	97.8	103.3	102.5
season	16.7	15.6		100.3	104.9
opponent	15.2	15.6		103.9	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	18.4	14.7	16.2	16.5	16.3
NJN	16.8	15.3	15.8	15.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Benoit	11	12	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-10	14	12.2	16.9	-4.74	18.5	15.4	3.06
Gerald Wilkins	10	10	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-4	2	15.9	16.4	-0.49	16.6	15.7	0.85
Horace Grant	75	75	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.29	2	-8	10	16.1	17.8	-1.72	15.8	16.3	-0.51
Mark Price	39	39	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-2	-2	16.0	16.6	-0.60	15.1	16.4	-1.26
Derek Harper	51	52	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-4	2	16.5	16.2	0.31	16.2	15.3	0.87
Dan Schayes	41	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.12	-7	1	-8	17.7	15.1	2.59	17.0	14.8	2.17
Nick Anderson	79	80	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.33	-4	-2	-2	16.4	15.9	0.49	15.7	16.6	-0.85
Derek Strong	62	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.24	-7	1	-8	15.7	17.7	-1.96	15.2	17.4	-2.20
Bo Outlaw	77	77	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.28	-10	4	-14	17.0	12.0	5.01	15.5	17.6	-2.07

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendall Gill	58	59	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.29	13	-7	20	15.1	17.2	-2.18	16.3	16.4	-0.15
Sam Cassell	73	72	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.32	9	-3	12	16.4	13.6	2.78	16.9	13.9	3.03
Kerry Kittles	71	70	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.25	11	-5	16	15.6	16.7	-1.13	16.6	15.3	1.30
Keith Van Horn	64	65	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	4	-2	15.6	16.3	-0.71	16.1	17.0	-0.96
Rony Seikaly	36	36	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	0	6	15.9	15.8	0.07	17.2	15.8	1.39
Jayson Williams	58	58	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.29	-1	7	-8	16.4	14.9	1.50	15.7	17.6	-1.96
Brian Evans	3	2	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	7	-8	1.3	16.3	-15.01	8.0	16.5	-8.53
Michael Cage	5	4	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	8	-10	12.4	16.0	-3.65	13.0	16.5	-3.49
Lucious Harris	19	19	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.07	-5	11	-16	16.7	15.6	1.13	15.3	16.6	-1.30
Chris Gatling	46	43	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.11	1	5	-4	17.7	13.9	3.83	17.7	15.0	2.68
Sherman Douglas	17	17	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	9	-12	13.6	16.4	-2.78	13.9	16.9	-3.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.48,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.71,0.57,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 96, DAL 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.72,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.68,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.99,1	92.1%
HOU 79, NOH 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.59,0.69,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.98,1	92.0%
MIN 93, POR 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.71,0.92,1	92.0%