NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	96		Excitement	7.3 [331]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +30.7%
Dallas Mavericks	107		Comeback	1.3 [1028]		LVP	Charlie Bell (MIL): -8.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0.17	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17	0.12	0.02	-0.03	29	55%	0.19	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.07	-0.01	9	67%	0.19	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.06
Dan Gadzuric	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	9	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Andrew Bogut	-0.07	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.05	-0.06	0.06	19	56%	0.07	2	-0.14	5	80%	0.01
Charlie Bell	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.25,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	0.01	-0.02	10	25%	0.03	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.31	0.31	0.13	0.18	0.01	15	68%	0.33	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Josh Howard	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	-0.02	0.12	-0.02	17	44%	0.15	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.01	10	62%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.07	0.02	3	80%	0.16	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.06,0,0,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.13	-0.03	0.05	17	63%	0.13	2	-0.08	12	83%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	60%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03
Maurice Ager	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.4	29.4	15.7	22.7	1.7	38.6	136.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +25.4%

DAL +8.1%

DAL +3.5%

DAL +13.0%

DAL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	DAL	NBA	MIL	DAL	NBA
this game	16.0	16.0	15.4	106.7	118.9	105.7
season	15.8	16.1		103.4	108.9
opponent	15.4	15.2		105.0	110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.3	15.6	16.1	16.7	16.0
DAL	17.4	16.3	16.6	13.9	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Ruffin	18	20	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.03	7	-18	25	16.0	15.9	0.06	16.9	15.8	1.16
Royal Ivey	40	40	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-13	15	16.0	15.9	0.12	16.9	15.4	1.49
Dan Gadzuric	28	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.16	-1	-10	9	18.6	14.8	3.85	17.3	15.5	1.79
Desmond Mason	70	69	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.22	0	-11	11	15.9	16.0	-0.12	15.3	18.3	-2.99
Charlie Villanueva	63	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	1	-13	15.2	17.6	-2.39	15.4	17.4	-2.01
Mo Williams	86	86	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.13	-15	4	-19	16.3	8.7	7.54	16.0	17.5	-1.52
Andrew Bogut	71	72	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.13	-17	6	-23	15.5	17.5	-1.99	15.9	16.6	-0.64
Charlie Bell	74	74	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.23	-19	8	-27	15.6	17.8	-2.26	16.3	15.0	1.27

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Juan Barea	38	38	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.01	24	-13	37	16.4	15.8	0.61	15.8	16.1	-0.33
Josh Howard	70	73	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.11	20	-9	29	16.1	15.8	0.31	16.5	13.6	2.92
Dirk Nowitzki	76	78	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.12	19	-8	27	16.1	15.8	0.31	16.3	13.6	2.74
Brandon Bass	49	49	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	8	-5	15.6	16.6	-1.08	16.4	15.4	1.08
Erick Dampier	37	37	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.03	8	3	5	18.2	14.6	3.60	15.4	16.4	-1.03
Eddie Jones	41	41	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.01	7	4	3	18.2	14.2	3.95	15.4	16.4	-0.95
Devean George	40	39	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.16	0	11	-11	14.3	17.4	-3.05	16.4	15.6	0.80
Jason Terry	61	60	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.29	-6	17	-23	15.9	16.3	-0.39	16.1	15.6	0.53
Juwan Howard	6	6	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	15	-19	14.0	16.2	-2.19	16.2	15.9	0.23
Maurice Ager	5	6	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.08	-1	12	-13	13.8	16.2	-2.38	16.2	15.9	0.23
DeSagana Diop	12	10	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.01	-4	15	-19	12.2	16.6	-4.38	12.8	16.3	-3.55
Trenton Hassell	15	13	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	0.05	-11	22	-33	14.7	16.3	-1.57	12.8	16.5	-3.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.72,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.68,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 87, NJN 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.48,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.71,0.57,0.96,1	92.1%
SAS 78, MIN 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.62,0.7,0.83,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.64,0.68,0.92,1	91.7%
HOU 79, NOH 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.59,0.69,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.98,1	91.7%