NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	92		Excitement	7.0 [385]		MVP	Arvydas Sabonis (POR): +21.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	103		Comeback	2.2 [741]		LVP	Ike Austin (LAC): -21.5%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrick Martin	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.06	0.13	-0.01	12	62%	0.22	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16	0.11	0.05	-0.01	10	73%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Pooh Richardson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04	-0.01	-0.02	-0.07	5	50%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01	-0.06	0.06	-0.01	14	41%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Charles Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	10	56%	-0.00	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Maurice Taylor	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	4	60%	0.00	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.00	3	12%	-0.08	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Ike Austin	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.09	-0.11	0.02	18	45%	-0.11	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.05

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.13	0.09	0.01	17	70%	0.27	1	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	-0.00	22	55%	0.14	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.03
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	8	60%	0.06	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.03	8	67%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	9	46%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.03
Gary Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	6	29%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	1.8	29.0	15.5	25.0	2.0	32.4	128.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +3.9%

POR +31.6%

POR +21.1%

LAC -12.3%

POR +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	POR	NBA	LAC	POR	NBA
this game	16.4	16.9	15.6	105.7	119.8	102.5
season	15.5	15.9		101.0	101.9
opponent	15.4	15.1		100.6	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.1	15.1	20.9	15.5	16.4
POR	16.9	15.5	21.4	15.1	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lorenzen Wright	31	30	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.02	0	-11	11	16.2	16.5	-0.27	16.7	17.1	-0.35
Charles Smith	14	14	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.05	-3	-8	5	14.3	16.8	-2.48	16.5	17.0	-0.51
Darrick Martin	54	52	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.13	-4	-7	3	17.2	15.0	2.15	18.3	14.8	3.48
Pooh Richardson	33	34	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-4	-3	15.0	17.2	-2.15	14.8	18.3	-3.48
Rodney Rogers	65	64	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-5	-1	16.5	16.0	0.55	16.9	17.0	-0.03
Eric Piatkowski	67	66	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-4	-3	17.0	14.2	2.81	17.0	16.7	0.30
Lamond Murray	66	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.13	-8	-3	-5	16.9	14.8	2.05	16.8	17.3	-0.48
Maurice Taylor	35	35	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.27	-7	-4	-3	15.6	16.9	-1.28	17.3	16.6	0.70
Ike Austin	70	69	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.16	-13	2	-15	16.0	17.8	-1.74	17.0	16.8	0.13

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	71	73	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.22	11	0	11	17.1	16.1	0.97	15.8	19.2	-3.39
John Crotty	24	23	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	-1	13	15.1	17.6	-2.50	15.5	16.7	-1.15
Isaiah Rider	82	84	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	-1	13	17.1	14.0	3.07	16.2	22.0	-5.83
Arvydas Sabonis	65	67	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.14	8	3	5	18.5	12.1	6.33	16.4	16.2	0.15
Brian Grant	44	43	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.01	11	0	11	15.3	18.7	-3.39	15.9	16.8	-0.96
Stacey Augmon	57	55	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	5	1	17.2	16.5	0.68	17.6	14.2	3.45
Rick Brunson	53	54	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.05	3	8	-5	18.2	14.8	3.43	16.7	15.8	0.98
Jermaine O'Neal	14	15	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	15	-19	14.5	17.4	-2.90	16.5	16.3	0.12
Walt Williams	11	11	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	11	-11	14.2	17.3	-3.15	16.7	16.3	0.41
Gary Grant	9	10	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	15	-19	14.0	17.3	-3.27	16.3	16.4	-0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.34,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.53,0.67,0.77,0.69,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.95,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 94, IND 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.72,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.73,0.75,0.85,0.98,1,1	93.3%
DEN 95, NOP 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.58,0.45,0.58,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.9,0.98,1	92.8%
NJN 87, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.93,0.93,0.79,0.99,0.99,1	92.7%