NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	93		Excitement	6.8 [424]		MVP	Eddie Johnson (HOU): +19.5%
Utah Jazz	100		Comeback	7.1 [331]		LVP	Charles Barkley (HOU): -19.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Johnson	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2	0.23	-0.02	0.02	18	86%	0.30	3	-0.10	7	100%	0.04
Brent Price	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	5	70%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	59%	0.01	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.06
Matt Maloney	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Clyde Drexler	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	-0.02	15	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rodrick Rhodes	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	-0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	36%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charles Barkley	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2	-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	11	38%	-0.13	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.02	18	60%	0.11	2	-0.05	12	75%	-0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Foster	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.03	0.00	12	58%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.01,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.11	0.08	-0.02	12	36%	0.10	2	-0.11	4	50%	-0.01
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.06	0.02	10	59%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	9	41%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Chris Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	50.8	1.7	24.5	15.7	26.4	2.5	33.2	154.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU -7.2%

UTA +5.7%

UTA +50.2%

HOU -4.0%

UTA +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	UTA	NBA	HOU	UTA	NBA
this game	15.8	16.4	15.6	104.5	111.1	102.5
season	15.7	15.9		104.5	108.1
opponent	15.9	15.2		102.1	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.2	13.5	18.7	17.1	15.8
UTA	17.1	16.5	14.7	17.1	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Price	40	39	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.39	14	-21	35	15.7	15.9	-0.13	16.4	16.4	-0.03
Rodrick Rhodes	25	26	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.24	-8	1	-9	17.7	15.1	2.62	14.5	17.1	-2.64
Matt Bullard	47	47	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.21	-12	5	-17	15.1	16.5	-1.37	16.1	16.7	-0.61
Othella Harrington	54	54	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.54	10	-17	27	15.5	16.3	-0.80	16.9	15.7	1.19
Matt Maloney	65	66	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	5	-17	15.2	17.4	-2.22	16.5	15.9	0.63
Eddie Johnson	77	76	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.47	-3	-4	1	16.0	14.4	1.60	16.3	16.6	-0.31
Charles Barkley	77	79	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.27	-12	5	-17	16.4	11.8	4.58	16.2	17.5	-1.23
Clyde Drexler	60	63	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.32	-12	5	-17	15.4	16.6	-1.12	17.0	14.8	2.23

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	59	57	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.30	21	-14	35	16.3	16.6	-0.36	16.0	15.4	0.61
Bryon Russell	53	51	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.29	13	-6	19	15.2	18.1	-2.98	16.9	14.3	2.54
Karl Malone	78	76	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.26	12	-5	17	16.4	16.1	0.34	16.6	11.0	5.62
Shandon Anderson	48	46	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.35	9	-2	11	16.7	16.0	0.75	15.0	16.6	-1.61
Antoine Carr	50	51	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.41	-2	9	-11	16.9	15.7	1.22	16.3	15.1	1.21
Greg Foster	26	25	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.01	2	5	-3	16.6	16.3	0.33	14.7	16.2	-1.55
Adam Keefe	41	41	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.04	0	7	-7	16.3	16.4	-0.11	15.1	16.4	-1.21
Jeff Hornacek	46	47	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.10	1	6	-5	15.8	17.0	-1.26	16.4	15.2	1.20
Chris Morris	18	19	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.01	-7	14	-21	18.7	15.8	2.93	11.6	16.9	-5.36
Howard Eisley	31	32	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	-0.00	-14	21	-35	16.6	16.3	0.36	15.4	16.0	-0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.24,0.17,0.16,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.3,0.21,0.29,0.27,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.3,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.29,0.4,0.55,0.46,0.77,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 112, GSW 121	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.44,0.43,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.27,0.23,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.2,0.28,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.46,0.53,0.48,0.55,0.66,0.98,1	91.8%
NOH 117, ORL 123	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.21,0.25,0.33,0.12,0.09,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.3,0.2,0.17,0.08,0.22,0.35,0.46,0.45,0.79,0.84,0.98,1	91.3%
PHI 82, LAL 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.16,0.1,0.07,0.15,0.31,0.2,0.47,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.91,1	90.9%