inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 112 Excitement7.7 [313] MVPStephen Curry (GSW): +34.2%
Golden State Warriors 121 Comeback17.1 [335] LVPKhris Middleton (MIL): -16.5%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Miles Plumlee0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.120.030.00393%0.1400.00887%0.02
Michael Carter-Williams0.110,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.050.060.011857%0.152-0.04683%0.00
Rashad Vaughn0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.001150%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo0.010,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.01,0.010.010.000.011754%0.183-0.17367%-0.00
John Henson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
O.J. Mayo-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01-0.040.01-0.021143%0.052-0.056100%0.04
Johnny O'Bryant-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Jabari Parker-0.050,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.01-0.040.001348%-0.002-0.05367%-0.01
Greg Monroe-0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.011145%-0.003-0.0800%0.00
Khris Middleton-0.170,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.17-0.01-0.16-0.011647%-0.072-0.102100%0.01

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Curry0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,0.18,0.36,0.340.340.040.310.011467%0.536-0.181191%0.22
Festus Ezeli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.050.080.00864%0.151-0.02633%-0.03
Draymond Green0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.070.070.050.02-0.001555%0.122-0.04862%-0.06
Brandon Rush0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.000.01771%0.0600.0000%0.00
Klay Thompson0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.13-0.020.061664%0.071-0.021090%0.02
Jason Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
James Michael McAdoo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.000.002100%0.051-0.0400%0.00
Andrew Bogut0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Shaun Livingston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.00633%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Marreese Speights0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01729%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Leandro Barbosa0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.00643%-0.002-0.052100%0.01
Andre Iguodala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.03-0.00530%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.11.528.914.825.42.336.3138.3
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +31.2%
GSW +13.0%
GSW +7.3%
GSW +11.6%
MIL -13.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILGSWNBAMILGSWNBA
this game16.212.114.9109.8119.8105.1
season14.813.7102.8112.3
opponent15.115.3102.9107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL14.614.717.019.016.2
GSW11.613.511.212.312.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Miles Plumlee38370.29-0.791.07-0.0110-192917.015.71.3113.911.12.75
Johnny O'Bryant29290.17-0.670.840.083-121516.616.10.5314.411.23.23
O.J. Mayo46440.08-0.580.660.14-2-7516.715.80.8913.011.51.47
Rashad Vaughn2120-0.07-0.430.350.04-4-5118.015.82.2015.811.24.62
John Henson55-0.08-0.420.330.03-4-5113.616.3-2.7410.612.2-1.63
Jabari Parker6767-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.34-4-5115.916.7-0.7711.213.9-2.70
Michael Carter-Williams8786-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.23-8-1-715.520.3-4.7611.217.8-6.64
Khris Middleton8483-0.610.11-0.72-0.32-101-1116.017.1-1.0311.216.7-5.57
Giannis Antetokounmpo7475-0.650.15-0.79-0.32-112-1316.515.41.1712.810.22.63
Greg Monroe5959-0.700.20-0.90-0.26-156-2115.916.6-0.7311.213.5-2.31

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandon Rush52530.92-0.421.340.4516-72311.313.0-1.7317.015.41.61
Klay Thompson81810.92-0.421.340.2722-133511.415.0-3.6215.618.5-2.86
Festus Ezeli56570.92-0.421.330.3320-113111.413.1-1.6616.815.51.28
Draymond Green88890.71-0.210.910.2715-62111.119.1-7.9515.818.9-3.11
Stephen Curry85850.66-0.160.830.2813-41711.217.2-6.0616.017.2-1.24
Andrew Bogut13130.010.49-0.480.0109-911.512.2-0.7913.216.6-3.41
Jason Thompson78-0.090.59-0.690.02-413-1711.912.2-0.3117.116.11.00
Leandro Barbosa1617-0.160.66-0.83-0.05-413-1717.211.26.0617.216.01.24
James Michael McAdoo1313-0.250.75-0.99-0.07-615-2115.811.64.2419.215.83.38
Marreese Speights2121-0.270.77-1.04-0.03-817-2516.011.14.8017.016.01.06
Andre Iguodala4142-0.410.91-1.31-0.23-615-2113.411.32.1315.216.9-1.65
Shaun Livingston3231-0.450.95-1.40-0.07-1322-3514.211.22.9417.015.81.19


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.44,0.43,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.27,0.23,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.2,0.28,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.46,0.53,0.48,0.55,0.66,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 93, UTA 1000.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.24,0.17,0.16,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.3,0.21,0.29,0.27,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.3,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.29,0.4,0.55,0.46,0.77,0.98,191.8%
CHH 78, CHI 760.5,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.5,0.5,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.16,0.28,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.13,0.26,0.35,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.85,0.86,191.8%
NOH 117, ORL 1230.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.21,0.25,0.33,0.12,0.09,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.3,0.2,0.17,0.08,0.22,0.35,0.46,0.45,0.79,0.84,0.98,191.6%