NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	106		Excitement	8.2 [182]		MVP	Bryant Reeves (VAN): +35.0%
Vancouver Grizzlies	113		Comeback	7.5 [159]		LVP	John Wallace (TOR): -31.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	-0.00	0.12	-0.02	13	57%	0.20	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Reggie Slater	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
John Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Roy Rogers	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.10	-0.05	0.06	14	68%	0.05	1	-0.05	3	100%	-0.02
Marcus Camby	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	14	57%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Oliver Miller	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,-0.01,-0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.01	9	67%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	5	43%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Doug Christie	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.02	16	47%	-0.06	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.08
John Wallace	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.21,-0.31,-0.31	-0.10	-0.22	0.00	10	27%	-0.21	1	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.36,0.35	0.35	0.11	0.23	-0.01	18	70%	0.40	2	-0.05	18	78%	-0.01
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.04	0.02	9	71%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lee Mayberry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	3	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	6	45%	-0.05	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.04
Bobby Hurley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	5	50%	-0.01	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Sam Mack	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	10	50%	-0.01	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2	-0.20	-0.02	-0.12	0.06	11	63%	-0.10	4	-0.10	8	100%	0.01
Blue Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.11	-0.15	-0.00	7	0%	-0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	2.7	28.2	17.7	29.5	2.0	40.2	149.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN +4.4%

VAN +21.8%

VAN +26.6%

TOR -1.8%

TOR -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	VAN	NBA	TOR	VAN	NBA
this game	15.5	14.6	15.6	112.8	116.5	102.5
season	15.5	15.1		98.7	101.3
opponent	15.3	14.8		109.1	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.0	15.9	15.3	14.9	15.5
VAN	14.0	13.6	15.3	15.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Thomas	14	16	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.14	2	-9	11	14.1	15.8	-1.72	16.6	14.2	2.38
Tracy McGrady	36	37	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.07	9	-16	25	17.0	14.6	2.33	13.6	15.2	-1.60
Marcus Camby	46	50	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.16	-3	-4	1	16.4	14.7	1.68	15.8	13.4	2.44
Roy Rogers	16	15	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.17	-8	1	-9	16.9	15.3	1.62	15.3	14.5	0.82
Reggie Slater	8	8	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.07	-6	-1	-5	15.2	15.6	-0.31	11.0	15.0	-3.97
Dee Brown	71	74	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.41	8	-15	23	15.0	17.0	-2.00	14.6	14.7	-0.07
Chauncey Billups	82	84	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.26	-8	1	-9	15.6	15.2	0.42	14.5	15.8	-1.30
Oliver Miller	63	65	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.62	-1	-6	5	15.4	15.7	-0.27	14.2	15.5	-1.28
Doug Christie	68	70	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.26	-15	8	-23	15.0	17.0	-2.03	15.4	12.7	2.68
John Wallace	55	55	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.40	-14	7	-21	14.9	16.4	-1.41	14.0	15.5	-1.43

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryant Reeves	77	76	0.96	-0.46	1.41	0.31	22	-15	37	13.4	19.3	-5.87	15.9	13.8	2.17
Lee Mayberry	56	55	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.49	9	-2	11	14.0	15.5	-1.55	15.0	16.3	-1.33
Sam Mack	65	63	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.39	12	-5	17	13.6	16.8	-3.24	15.0	16.6	-1.56
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	69	65	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.37	0	7	-7	15.4	12.8	2.56	14.9	17.0	-2.17
Pete Chilcutt	40	40	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.24	3	4	-1	15.5	14.0	1.51	16.7	14.6	2.08
George Lynch	43	41	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.09	6	1	5	14.0	15.1	-1.15	15.1	15.8	-0.73
Tony Massenburg	11	11	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.15	-9	16	-25	16.8	14.4	2.46	13.8	15.8	-1.94
Michael Smith	51	49	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.09	-1	8	-9	14.8	14.4	0.43	15.5	15.5	-0.00
Blue Edwards	32	31	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.10	-5	12	-17	16.8	13.6	3.24	16.6	15.0	1.56
Bobby Hurley	41	39	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	-0.20	-2	9	-11	15.5	14.0	1.55	16.3	15.0	1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.69,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.79,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.38,0.2,0.12,0.33,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 79, NJN 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.25,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.32,0.73,1	90.5%
POR 102, SAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.57,0.58,0.42,0.47,0.29,0.1,0.14,0.02,0.1,0.42,1	89.9%
ORL 110, MIL 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.78,0.78,0.68,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.62,0.72,0.63,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.39,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.4,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.74,1	89.6%