NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	102		Excitement	9.9 [69]		MVP	Mitch Richmond (SAC): +41.8%
Sacramento Kings	103		Comeback	54.2 [21]		LVP	Kenny Anderson (POR): -46.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arvydas Sabonis	0.30	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.3	0.06	0.25	0.00	10	66%	0.30	0	0.00	12	92%	0.27
Chris Dudley	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.07	-0.00	6	57%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dontonio Wingfield	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	4	62%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.03	0.03	9	68%	0.03	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Mitchell Butler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	8	44%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Isaiah Rider	-0.10	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.15	0.02	-0.03	9	42%	-0.00	5	-0.09	6	83%	0.02
Clifford Robinson	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.06	-0.01	17	44%	-0.05	4	-0.12	7	71%	-0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.46	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.07,-0.46	-0.05	-0.42	-0.01	16	46%	-0.42	2	-0.04	5	40%	-0.04

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.22,0.42	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.01	20	63%	0.46	2	-0.04	6	67%	0.16
Lionel Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.17	0.17	0.01	0.16	0.00	3	60%	0.17	0	0.00	4	100%	0.18
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	8	64%	0.06	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Billy Owens	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	10	55%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Hurley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Duane Causwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Tyus Edney	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	8	24%	-0.08	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.24	-0.24	-0.09	-0.15	-0.00	12	43%	-0.16	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Olden Polynice	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.27	-0.27	-0.10	-0.18	-0.00	16	44%	-0.11	4	-0.16	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.3	27.4	16.3	24.6	2.4	43.4	140.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +32.4%

SAC +2.6%

POR -5.2%

SAC +9.2%

SAC +11.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SAC	NBA	POR	SAC	NBA
this game	14.2	14.9	15.6	102.0	105.1	104.4
season	15.5	15.4		105.2	102.4
opponent	15.4	15.5		106.0	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.1	14.2	12.6	17.4	14.2
SAC	12.6	14.1	16.8	16.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Trent	41	40	0.28	-0.79	1.07	0.26	1	-2	3	12.7	15.2	-2.48	16.2	14.1	2.15
Arvydas Sabonis	62	60	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-3	5	14.6	13.5	1.08	14.5	15.6	-1.15
Mitchell Butler	6	5	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	3	-7	12.8	14.3	-1.42	14.4	15.0	-0.56
Dontonio Wingfield	9	7	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	3	-7	11.0	14.5	-3.48	15.0	14.9	0.08
Aaron McKie	38	37	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.14	-4	3	-7	13.1	14.9	-1.80	14.9	14.9	-0.02
Isaiah Rider	70	68	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.50	8	-9	17	13.7	15.3	-1.61	14.9	15.0	-0.05
Rasheed Wallace	62	63	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.50	1	-2	3	15.0	12.9	2.10	14.5	15.7	-1.27
Clifford Robinson	91	90	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.50	1	-2	3	14.5	11.0	3.48	14.8	16.6	-1.85
Chris Dudley	34	34	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.47	-4	3	-7	14.1	14.2	-0.17	15.4	14.7	0.78
Kenny Anderson	87	86	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.58	-2	1	-3	15.0	8.5	6.47	15.0	14.6	0.39

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyus Edney	63	65	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.48	12	-11	23	14.7	15.3	-0.56	14.4	13.8	0.61
Lionel Simmons	31	32	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.61	3	-2	5	14.5	15.1	-0.56	14.4	14.1	0.30
Brian Grant	61	63	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.48	6	-5	11	14.7	15.3	-0.55	14.5	13.6	0.96
Mitch Richmond	75	76	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.51	5	-4	9	15.0	14.7	0.30	14.3	13.9	0.39
Duane Causwell	23	25	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.26	0	1	-1	16.1	14.6	1.57	16.1	13.5	2.55
Corliss Williamson	44	44	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.32	-5	6	-11	15.3	14.6	0.71	13.4	14.8	-1.44
Billy Owens	52	54	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.05	1	0	1	14.1	15.8	-1.69	14.3	14.0	0.31
Michael Smith	32	32	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.04	-5	6	-11	15.9	14.5	1.41	13.6	14.5	-0.89
Olden Polynice	74	74	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.22	-1	2	-3	14.7	15.5	-0.81	13.7	15.6	-1.90
Bobby Hurley	35	35	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.01	-11	12	-23	15.3	14.7	0.56	13.8	14.4	-0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.57,0.58,0.42,0.47,0.29,0.1,0.14,0.02,0.1,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 96, MIA 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.69,0.65,0.59,0.65,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.2,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.58,1	90.5%
PHI 88, DET 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.51,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.33,0.19,0.29,0.15,0.26,1	90.4%
TOR 106, VAN 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.69,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.79,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.38,0.2,0.12,0.33,0.84,1	89.9%