inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 82 Excitement7.6 [269] MVPRick Brunson (POR): +6.4%
Portland Trail Blazers 78 Comeback1.4 [476] LVPBrian Grant (POR): -35.8%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chuck Person0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.040.040.010.00679%0.112-0.072100%0.01
Vinny Del Negro0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.040.000.03-0.011352%0.051-0.013100%0.03
Tim Duncan0.010,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01-0.040.050.002350%0.083-0.07425%-0.04
Will Perdue-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00337%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Monty Williams-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.000.00250%0.011-0.03250%-0.02
Avery Johnson-0.040,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.00643%-0.021-0.0220%-0.02
Carl Herrera-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.0600.0020%-0.03
Reggie Geary-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.01-0.01727%-0.052-0.0610%-0.01
Jaren Jackson-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16-0.08-0.090.00533%-0.082-0.082100%0.03
David Robinson-0.200,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.13-0.08-0.01746%-0.034-0.181070%-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rick Brunson0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.02-0.00470%0.0600.002100%0.01
Arvydas Sabonis0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,-0.04,-0.02-0.020.02-0.05-0.011470%0.195-0.215100%0.04
Kelvin Cato0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.010.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Walt Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.10-0.020.00822%-0.101-0.022100%0.01
Isaiah Rider0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.21,-0.21,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.09-0.030.012343%-0.072-0.06771%-0.00
Gary Grant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.01-0.13-0.00550%0.011-0.1600%0.00
Rasheed Wallace0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.15-0.07-0.021628%-0.191-0.014100%0.03
Brian Grant0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.29,-0.29,-0.36-0.36-0.12-0.230.00822%-0.302-0.052100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.81.730.017.026.02.540.4146.3
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +61.1%
POR -21.9%
POR -2.4%
SAS +1.5%
SAS +11.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASPORNBASASPORNBA
this game16.216.115.691.188.6102.5
season15.915.9100.9101.9
opponent15.415.9100.697.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS17.513.617.716.416.2
POR14.618.515.815.616.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jaren Jackson59570.54-0.040.590.347-31016.116.5-0.3717.014.52.47
Will Perdue50480.480.020.470.4031216.915.41.4314.617.9-3.23
Tim Duncan87850.470.030.450.3931216.119.7-3.5416.020.3-4.37
Vinny Del Negro70670.310.190.120.40-37-1017.013.73.2715.119.3-4.17
Monty Williams14130.280.220.060.135-1618.315.92.4215.516.2-0.67
Chuck Person58560.280.220.050.2513-215.218.1-2.8717.214.22.98
Reggie Geary24250.090.41-0.320.0613-215.216.6-1.4718.015.42.58
Avery Johnson27270.060.44-0.39-0.0331215.616.5-0.9315.016.6-1.55
Carl Herrera330.030.47-0.45-0.0013-219.716.13.5420.316.04.37
David Robinson5859-0.040.54-0.58-0.01-15-616.216.3-0.0616.415.50.89

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kelvin Cato34-0.05-0.450.410.01-2-2019.316.03.3316.016.3-0.26
Gary Grant4749-0.19-0.310.11-0.376-101615.816.5-0.7515.517.1-1.61
Walt Williams3336-0.19-0.310.11-0.11-3-1-216.815.71.0315.616.7-1.10
Arvydas Sabonis7071-0.23-0.270.05-0.406-101615.418.9-3.5616.913.83.05
Jermaine O'Neal1919-0.24-0.260.030.03-95-1418.715.43.3512.617.2-4.65
Rick Brunson4141-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.01-106-1616.515.80.7517.115.51.61
Brian Grant7273-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.29-40-416.016.6-0.6216.017.5-1.51
Rasheed Wallace7474-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.38-1-3215.917.0-1.0516.714.12.65
Isaiah Rider8183-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.39-3-1-216.017.4-1.4316.711.35.38


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.2,0.25,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.4,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.37,0.43,0.08,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 99, MEM 960.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.37,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.25,0.37,0.44,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.36,0.23,0.26,092.6%
POR 86, TOR 800.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.32,0.25,0.26,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.16,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.33,0.08,092.2%
LAC 129, GSW 1210.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.36,0.39,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.27,0.29,0.36,0.13,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.29,0.31,0.46,0.1,0,091.9%