NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	129		Excitement	7.6 [368]		MVP	Kevin Durant (GSW): +46.4%
Golden State Warriors	121		Comeback	1.5 [139]		LVP	Kevon Looney (GSW): -9.9%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0.40	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.38,0.4,0.4	0.12	0.26	-0.02	19	70%	0.54	5	-0.14	9	89%	0.01
Montrezl Harrell	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.17	0.11	0.00	14	80%	0.31	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
JaMychal Green	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.12	0.06	-0.00	9	75%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Beverley	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.02	0.01	13	65%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	0	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.02	0.04	22	52%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.00
Jerome Robinson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	55%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.5,0.47,0.46	0.46	0.33	0.13	-0.00	26	70%	0.50	1	-0.03	12	100%	0.07
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alfonzo McKinnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.11	-0.05	0.04	15	67%	0.17	3	-0.15	6	100%	0.03
Klay Thompson	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.05,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.03	0.01	20	55%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	7	21%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	44%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	8	28%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.0	3.5	25.5	16.3	35.0	2.8	32.5	145.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +46.3%

LAC +3.1%

LAC +4.8%

GSW -8.8%

LAC +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	GSW	NBA	LAC	GSW	NBA
this game	16.1	13.3	14.3	131.6	123.5	109.3
season	13.9	13.4		111.3	114.5
opponent	15.0	14.1		108.9	110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.0	16.5	16.1	14.9	16.1
GSW	13.0	13.5	12.1	14.5	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Landry Shamet	73	75	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.18	17	-9	26	16.3	15.7	0.54	13.3	13.2	0.12
JaMychal Green	51	55	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.21	11	-3	14	17.3	14.8	2.52	13.2	13.4	-0.19
Danilo Gallinari	86	84	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.01	12	-4	16	16.2	15.3	0.90	13.2	13.4	-0.11
Garrett Temple	26	23	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.09	9	-1	10	12.4	17.5	-5.04	15.1	12.7	2.38
Lou Williams	69	70	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.30	1	7	-6	16.2	15.9	0.27	13.3	13.2	0.07
Patrick Beverley	74	75	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.18	3	5	-2	16.9	13.8	3.03	12.6	15.4	-2.78
Montrezl Harrell	59	57	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.31	-7	15	-22	14.9	17.9	-3.03	13.4	13.1	0.25
Jerome Robinson	12	11	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	8	-8	14.4	16.4	-1.94	15.2	13.0	2.16
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	40	40	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.08	-6	14	-20	17.3	15.3	1.95	12.8	13.6	-0.74

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevon Looney	46	45	0.29	-0.79	1.07	-0.15	15	-23	38	12.5	14.0	-1.48	16.3	15.9	0.39
Kevin Durant	85	83	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-10	12	13.0	15.0	-2.00	16.3	15.2	1.09
Shaun Livingston	24	23	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.02	-9	1	-10	16.5	12.2	4.28	14.3	16.7	-2.38
Draymond Green	77	77	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-5	2	12.3	16.8	-4.51	16.8	13.6	3.25
Alfonzo McKinnie	16	18	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	2	-12	15.4	12.9	2.52	15.0	16.4	-1.38
Stephen Curry	79	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-5	2	12.4	16.9	-4.50	16.6	14.2	2.35
Andrew Bogut	33	34	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.05	-15	7	-22	14.9	12.4	2.52	16.4	16.0	0.40
Andre Iguodala	54	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-4	0	13.4	13.2	0.19	15.3	17.3	-2.01
Klay Thompson	76	75	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.22	-13	5	-18	13.7	11.9	1.81	15.9	16.7	-0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.36,0.39,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.27,0.29,0.36,0.13,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.29,0.31,0.46,0.1,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 110, CLE 106	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.12,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.16,0.27,0.25,0.16,0,0.01,0	91.9%
SAS 82, POR 78	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.2,0.25,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.4,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.37,0.43,0.08,0	91.9%
OKC 117, BKN 111	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.31,0.22,0.23,0.09,0	91.6%