inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 117 Excitement4.2 [941] MVPCharles Barkley (HOU): +10.6%
Houston Rockets 93 Comeback2.2 [336] LVPClyde Drexler (HOU): -14.6%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Alonzo Mourning0.100,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.070.03-0.00979%0.142-0.041100%0.00
Tim Hardaway0.080,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.01-0.022058%0.122-0.043100%0.02
Duane Causwell0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.020.002100%0.0600.0000%0.00
Dan Majerle0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.110.010.06793%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Keith Askins0.060,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.07-0.010.01771%0.0600.0000%0.00
Brent Barry0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.000.01564%0.0200.001100%0.00
Eric Murdock0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.01-0.01646%0.0200.0010%0.00
Voshon Lenard0.010,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.010.01853%0.0100.003100%0.01
Rex Walters0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.010100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Marty Conlon0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03250%0.0010.00250%0.00
Mark Strickland-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.050.000.06383%-0.0000.006100%0.01
P.J. Brown-0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.021155%0.044-0.0600%0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Charles Barkley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.100.010.00975%0.1100.006100%0.03
Eddie Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.020.021057%0.0300.00367%0.01
Matt Bullard0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.02-0.01757%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Kevin Willis0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.011447%0.0100.00475%-0.01
Emanual Davis00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brent Price0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.000.00462%0.021-0.025100%0.02
Mario Elie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01075%0.011-0.02475%0.01
Hakeem Olajuwon0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.01-0.021346%-0.001-0.01250%-0.01
Rodrick Rhodes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.02250%-0.012-0.0100%0.00
Othella Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.000.02450%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Matt Maloney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Clyde Drexler0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.11-0.04-0.00945%-0.025-0.122100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.02.628.116.524.52.426.6122.7
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +40.4%
HOU -7.2%
MIA +7.3%
MIA +8.5%
MIA +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAHOUNBAMIAHOUNBA
this game15.017.415.6128.6106.9102.5
season15.815.7104.7104.5
opponent15.216.2105.799.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA14.017.116.912.815.0
HOU17.318.017.416.917.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Keith Askins31300.59-0.090.67-0.092312214.615.3-0.6518.017.10.91
Voshon Lenard53520.470.030.44-0.091951416.413.23.2416.318.9-2.54
Tim Hardaway60590.470.030.43-0.182222015.713.72.0217.916.31.60
Duane Causwell33310.460.040.42-0.01168813.416.0-2.5918.516.81.68
P.J. Brown74720.450.050.40-0.172131816.110.25.9117.914.93.02
Brent Barry27250.110.39-0.290.02321-1814.715.2-0.4817.817.20.61
Dan Majerle53510.070.43-0.36-0.02321-1816.413.13.3318.216.12.10
Eric Murdock31280.030.47-0.43-0.03222-2013.715.7-2.0216.317.9-1.60
Alonzo Mourning52520.030.47-0.45-0.24915-615.614.31.2416.918.0-1.06
Rex Walters1190.000.50-0.50-0.09321-188.515.9-7.3915.017.6-2.64
Marty Conlon1190.000.50-0.50-0.09321-188.515.9-7.3915.017.6-2.64
Mark Strickland1917-0.170.67-0.84-0.05-428-3213.215.5-2.3215.817.7-1.92

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mario Elie26280.00-0.500.500.12-4-201615.718.1-2.3916.814.32.52
Emanual Davis890.00-0.500.500.06-2-222015.217.6-2.337.715.9-8.19
Charles Barkley5154-0.01-0.490.47-0.010-242417.916.61.3416.213.32.90
Brent Price4144-0.03-0.470.43-0.154-283218.616.22.4016.313.92.38
Rodrick Rhodes1920-0.04-0.460.430.26-10-14415.817.8-1.9512.415.8-3.32
Eddie Johnson5862-0.05-0.450.400.13-6-181217.716.71.0714.815.6-0.85
Othella Harrington1112-0.06-0.440.390.12-6-181215.617.6-1.988.716.0-7.25
Hakeem Olajuwon4446-0.32-0.18-0.140.30-21-3-1816.718.1-1.4316.413.62.81
Matt Maloney2727-0.43-0.07-0.360.10-18-6-1216.517.7-1.2315.015.1-0.12
Matt Bullard3738-0.45-0.05-0.400.14-20-4-1616.418.1-1.7713.716.0-2.24
Kevin Willis5959-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.02-16-8-818.215.62.6515.514.31.18
Clyde Drexler5456-0.620.12-0.74-0.00-21-3-1818.315.92.4015.214.80.35


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.33,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 101, NJN 830.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.33,0.24,0.14,0.21,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,095.2%
DAL 99, LAC 830.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,094.9%
DET 124, PHI 1030.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,094.5%